Brazil Presidential Election
77%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro77%▲ 1
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva23%▼ 1
Install
Tlaxcala Governor winner? (2027)
The odds
60%Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera
- Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera60%▲ 2
- Alfonso Sánchez García7%▲ 1
- Raymundo Vázquez Conchas3%▲ 1
- Concepción Sánchez González3%▲ 1
- Juan Salvador Santos Cedillo1%
- Héctor Bernardo Paredes Mora1%
- Miriam Martínez Sánchez1%
- Arturo Díaz Gutiérrez1%
- Raúl Antonio Hernández Castro1%
- Francisco Javier Soto Hernández1%
- Delfino Suárez Piedras1%
- Sergio Iván Larios Salas1%
8 more
- Carlos Augusto Pérez Hernández1%
- Irma Yordana Garay Loredo1%
- Floria María Hernández Hernández1%
- Alejandro Aguilar López1%
- Vicente Emilio Ponce Cano1%
- Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca1%
- Enrique Padilla Sánchez1%
- Juan Manuel Cambrón Soria1%
How the odds have moved
Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera: 58% on Oct 20, 60% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera | 60% | ▲ 2 | 58¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 3.2K |
| Alfonso Sánchez García | 7% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 3.7K |
| Raymundo Vázquez Conchas | 3% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 | 3.7K | |
| Concepción Sánchez González | 3% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 | 7.7K | |
| Juan Salvador Santos Cedillo | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.9K | ||
| Héctor Bernardo Paredes Mora | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.9K | ||
| Miriam Martínez Sánchez | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.9K | ||
| Arturo Díaz Gutiérrez | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.3K | ||
| Raúl Antonio Hernández Castro | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.7K | ||
| Francisco Javier Soto Hernández | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.1K | ||
| Delfino Suárez Piedras | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.1K | ||
| Sergio Iván Larios Salas | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.1K | ||
| Carlos Augusto Pérez Hernández | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.4K | ||
| Irma Yordana Garay Loredo | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.1K | ||
| Floria María Hernández Hernández | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 3.7K | ||
| Alejandro Aguilar López | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.4K | ||
| Vicente Emilio Ponce Cano | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 2.1K | ||
| Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.3K | ||
| Enrique Padilla Sánchez | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.3K | ||
| Juan Manuel Cambrón Soria | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Tlaxcala Governor, Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera, Alfonso Sánchez García
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.