Which ballot measures will pass in Alaska?
88%Ballot Measure 3
- Ballot Measure 388%
- Ballot Measure 234%▲ 1
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Which ballot measures will pass in New Mexico?
The odds
95%Senior Citizen Facilities Bond
- Senior Citizen Facilities Bond95%
- Library Bond95%
- Higher Education Bond85%
- Regents Selection Amendment73%
- Pocket Veto Amendment71%
- School Election Dates Amendment71%
- Legislative Salaries Amendment42%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Senior Citizen Facilities Bond: 96% on Oct 20, 95% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senior Citizen Facilities Bond | 95% | 92¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 3.6K | |
| Library Bond | 95% | 91¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 4.1K | |
| Higher Education Bond | 85% | 80¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | ||
| Regents Selection Amendment | 73% | 71¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 275 | |
| Pocket Veto Amendment | 71% | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 371 | |
| School Election Dates Amendment | 71% | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | ||
| Legislative Salaries Amendment | 42% | ▼ 2 | 38¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 2.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New Mexico, Senior Citizen Facilities Bond, Library Bond
Search ›-
The 2028 crop hits New MexicoThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. 10/24/2026 10:36 AM EDT With help from Eli Okun and Irie Sentner Good Saturday morning. This is Ali Bianco in the driver’s seat. Only 10 days left until the… - The 2028 crop hits New Mexico for inaugural ‘Matanza’ rallyThe “Fourth in the Nation Matanza Rally” is testing the appetite for a more Latino-specific cultural touchstone to round out the presidential candidate event rotation. 10/24/2026 11:19 AM EDT Prospective presidential candidates are known…
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‘Just the beginning’: New Mexico AG warns AI industry after $25B Meta rulingNew Mexico Attorney General Raúl Torrez said the record-setting judgment should encourage more states to take the tech industry to trial. New Mexico Attorney General Raúl Torrez (D) discusses a judgment in the state's Facebook case during… -
Soros-backed New Mexico AG behind $25B Meta lawsuit accused of seeking ‘tax on speech’The jaw-dropping $25 billion penalty Meta was slapped with on Oct. 21 is raising questions about New Mexico Attorney General Raúl Torrez’s crackdown on the company’s privacy and content-moderation practices. The massive fine could have a… -
Democratic presidential hopefuls pitch populist economics at New Mexico ‘matanza’U.S. Sen. Ben Ray Luján, left, speaks with U.S. Sen. Chris Van Hollen, right, and human rights activist Samia Assed, middle, during the Fourth in the Nation Matanza Rally on Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026 at the Anderson Abruzzo Albuquerque… -
The Roundhouse Report: Lawmaker wants New Mexico to cut investments tied to Russia, MuskSen. Jeff Steinborn, D-Las Cruces, center, speaks with Sen. Rex Wilson, D-Ancha, on the Senate floor on Friday, Jan. 23, 2026, at the state Capitol. A Democratic state senator is asking the New Mexico State Investment Council to cease… -
OPINION: In service to New Mexico — not a political partyI've sworn two oaths. Neither one was to a political party. Progressives in Washington, D.C., have spent a lot of money this year telling you who I answer to. So let me tell you myself. I was born in New Mexico and grew up in Albuquerque's… -
New Mexico lawmakers mull budget hike, eligibility limits for healthcare fundNew Mexico Health Care Authority The New Mexico Health Care Authority is requesting a $125 million base budget increase for a fund lawmakers have used to subsidize some Affordable Care Act premiums and backfill federal healthcare cuts… -
Trump Says Renaming New Mexico Would Boost House Prices—Is He Right?Oct 21, 2026 at 06:14 AM EDT President Donald Trump has renewed calls for New Mexico to be rebranded "New America," claiming that the name change would "add great value and prestige" to the state and increase home values and incomes. The… -
Trump posts map renaming New Mexico to 'New America'President Donald Trump has promoted the idea of changing the name of the state of New Mexico to "New America.” President Donald Trump posted a social media image suggesting renaming New Mexico as "New America," adding to the list of his… -
New Mexico's $25 billion verdict against Meta is fundamentally about speechTrace Mitchell is lead counsel for technology and Free Expression Policy Each is based on what speech Facebook allows, what speech it takes down, or whether it treats different speakers in the same way. Age-gating teens online was never… -
New Mexico’s Epstein panel enters final stretch down a memberNew Mexico’s bipartisan “truth commission” investigating Jeffrey Epstein’s ties to the state will spend its final months with three members instead of four, but still expects to complete its final report due in December. House Speaker…
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97%Citizens Only Voting Amendment
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Which ballot measures will pass in Arizona?
87%Proposition 316
- Proposition 31687%▲ 2
- Proposition 14184%
- Proposition 31984%▲ 2
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- Proposition 31774%▼ 1
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Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?
81%Proposition 136
- Proposition 13681%▲ 4
- Proposition 13277%▲ 1
- Amendment 8573%
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- Proposition 13371%▲ 1
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions