Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
78%Olivia Chow
- Olivia Chow78%▲ 17
- Brad Bradford22%▼ 17
- Ana Bailão<1%
5 more
- Michael Ford<1%
- Anthony Furey<1%
- Marco Mendicino<1%
- John Tory<1%
- Kevin Clarke<1%
Install
Idaho Secretary of State winner? (2026)
The odds
93%Phil McGrane
- Phil McGrane93%
- Shawn Keenan4%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Phil McGrane: 89% on Oct 19, 93% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil McGrane | 93% | 90¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 355 | |
| Shawn Keenan | 4% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Idaho Secretary of State, Phil McGrane, Shawn Keenan
Search ›-
This election ‘may break our campaign finance laws,’ warns Idaho secretary of stateThe battle over whether Idaho will vote to rewrite its abortion laws has attracted enormous amounts of money from supporters and opponents. The fight over Proposition 1, a ballot initiative that would expand abortion access in the state… -
Election security and voter access with Idaho Secretary of State Phil McGraneElection Day is only two weeks away. We spoke with Idaho Secretary of State Phil McGrane about election security, voter access, and what Idahoans should know as they head to the polls. We've talked before on Idaho Matters with the voting… -
Idaho Sec. of State says Prop 1 ads followed campaign finance lawsA recent TV ad supporting Proposition 1 followed all campaign finance laws, according to the Idaho Secretary of State’s office. The controversy over the ad focused on how it was paid for. Idahoans United for Women and Families, which… -
Complaints prompt McGrane to remind political advertisers to follow campaign finance rulesBOISE, Idaho (IdahoEdNews) — With two weeks until Election Day, Idaho Secretary of State Phil McGrane is reminding candidates, PACs and individuals to properly disclose any money spent to influence elections, according to a Tuesday press… -
Prop 1 ad prompts financial disclosure law reminderIdaho County Free Press - Regional News for Idaho and the Pacific Northwest Idaho Secretary of State Phil McGrane BOISE â Idaho Secretary of State Phil McGrane issued a reminder Tuesday underscoring candidates, political organizations… -
Secretary McGrane Reminds Campaigns and Advocacy Groups of Disclosure RequirementsBOISE – As Idahoans prepare to vote in the Nov. 3 General Election, Idaho Secretary of State Phil McGrane is reminding candidates, political organizations, and individuals spending money to influence elections of their responsibility to… -
Absentee Request & Voting Pre-Registration Deadline FridayThe Idaho-Lewis County Cattle Association is holding their annual dinner and auction fundraiser on Saturday, October 24th at the Greencreek Hall. Meeting to be held at 5:30pm, with dinner to follow at 6:30pm. The evening will include\n… -
Idaho Democrats Run Campaign Ad for Abortions Up to Birth AmendmentThe Proposition 1 campaign to radically expand abortion in Idaho and the Idaho Democratic Party are colluding to fraudulently get cheaper rates for a new TV ad running on Idaho stations. Why the subterfuge? Because political parties and… - He's running for the Idaho House – but he was just named U.S. attorney. Now what?It looked like smooth sailing for incumbent Rep. John Shirts’ reelection bid for the Idaho House. He won the Republican primary in May and faces no challengers in the upcoming election for a second term in his District 9 seat. But on…
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Deadline for Idaho voters to request absentee ballot for general election is Oct. 23BOISE, ID – The deadline for Idaho voters to request an absentee ballot for this year’s general election is 5 p.m. local time on Friday, Oct. 23. Friday, Oct. 23 is also the deadline to register to vote in advance of the Nov. 3 general… -
Idaho’s 2026 Abortion Ballot Initiative (Prop 1) – Frequently Asked QuestionsIdaho has one of the strictest abortion bans in the nation, with extremely narrow exceptions. Since Idaho’s trigger ban went into effect in 2022, the Idaho legislature has done little to improve the dire state of reproductive healthcare in… - Groups: Idaho laws create hurdles to register, voteA pair of local nonprofit organizations that promote voting rights say Idaho’s voting laws make it more difficult to hold voter registration drives and make it harder for some eligible voters to vote. However, Idaho Secretary of State Phil…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions