Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
61%Olivia Chow
- Olivia Chow61%▼ 4
- Brad Bradford38%▲ 5
- Ana Bailão<1%
5 more
- Michael Ford<1%
- Anthony Furey<1%
- Marco Mendicino<1%
- John Tory<1%
- Kevin Clarke<1%
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California Secretary of State winner? (2026)
The odds
97%Shirley N. Weber
- Shirley N. Weber97%▲ 1
- Donald P. (Don) Wagner3%
How the odds have moved
Shirley N. Weber: 92% on Oct 19, 97% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shirley N. Weber | 97% | ▲ 1 | 96¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 423 |
| Donald P. (Don) Wagner | 3% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 205 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: California Secretary of State, Shirley N. Weber
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LA feds move to halt ballot counting over 20K suspected noncitizen votersThe Trump administration is demanding an emergency court order to stop California from counting ballots tied to more than 20,000 suspected noncitizens, warning that once the votes are mixed in, there may be no way to undo it. First… -
California Secretary of State Shirley N. Weber, Ph.D., reminds voters today is the last day to register online to vote in the 2026 General ElectionCalifornia Secretary of State Shirley N. Weber, Ph.D., is reminding voters that today—Monday, Oct. 19, 2026—is the last day to register online to vote in the Nov. 3, 2026, General Election. Eligible Californians can register to vote or… -
DOJ Rushes to Block California From Counting 20,000 Ballots Tied to Suspected Noncitizens Before Votes Are Mixed ForeverFirst Assistant U.S. Attorney Bill Essayli and Attorney General Todd Blanche are leading the effort after a district court did not act on their earlier request to review the citizenship of individuals believed to be noncitizens. The motion… -
LA’s top federal prosecutor says California elections already in jeopardyLos Angeles’ top federal prosecutor fears noncitizens could be illegally casting ballots in California as dozens of polling places opened across LA County Saturday, warning the state could be trying to run out the clock before disputed… -
Justice Department orders California counties to set aside ballots from suspected noncitizensThe Justice Department on Friday ordered California election officials to identify suspected noncitizens on voter rolls and set aside their mail-in ballot – warning that officials who knowingly count ballots cast by noncitizens could face… -
DOJ demands that some California counties set aside and verify alleged noncitizen ballots within 48 hoursOctober 23, 2026 / 10:54 PM EDT / CBS/AP The letters are the latest escalation in a legal battle between California and President Trump's Justice Department, which has recently focused on the state in its efforts to root out noncitizen… -
California officials ordered by DoJ to set aside ‘likely’ noncitizen ballotsLetters from federal prosecutors represent latest escalation as Trump continues to make claims of voter fraud The letters are the latest escalation in a legal battle between California and Donald Trump’s Department of Justice, which has… -
Trump administration raises stakes in bombshell lawsuit against California over suspected noncitizen votersThe Trump administration is racing to stop California from counting ballots cast by alleged noncitizen voters, appealing to the 9th Circuit — as state officials fight back against a federal list of more than 20,000 people. The Justice… -
Can I take time off work to vote in California general election? See poll hoursElection Day is nearing. California voters have until Tuesday, Nov. 3, to cast their ballots in the 2026 general election. However, you don’t have to wait until Election Day to vote. If you’re scheduled to work when polls are open, can you… -
Newport Beach calls off court-ordered special election on 3 ballot measuresDespite a court order to conduct a special election for three ballot measures next month, the vote cannot proceed as scheduled, Newport Beach officials said Friday afternoon. With just 11 days before Election Day, the decision to cancel… -
Pasadena Offers Free Transit Rides on Election DayMost Pasadena polling places and ballot drop boxes are within a quarter-mile of a Pasadena Transit stop. The fare-free service is intended to make it easier and more accessible to get to voting sites. Several other Los Angeles County… -
In-Person Voting for General Election Begins in Riverside CountyRiverside County residents who want to cast their ballots in person rather than by mail began doing so Saturday, with the Office of the Registrar of Voters opening 21 vote centers throughout the county ahead of the Nov. 3 general election…
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Minnesota State House winner?
89%Democratic party
- Democratic party89%▲ 3
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Iowa State House winner?
87%Republican party
- Republican party87%▼ 2
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions