Will Chuck Schumer run for reelection? (Before Apr 6, 2028)

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Apr 6, 2028 · $1.1K traded · $599 at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

33%chance▼ 2

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 33% ▼ 2 31¢ 35¢ $2.86 3.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Chuck Schumer

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Elections › President 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

16%Gavin Newsom
  • Gavin Newsom16%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
  • Jon Ossoff15%▲ 1
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  • Kamala Harris7%▼ 1
  • Josh Shapiro6%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Andy Beshear3%
  • James Talarico3%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
  • Bernie Sanders2%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • J.B. Pritzker1%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Roy Cooper<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

44%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance44%▼ 2
  • Marco Rubio15%▲ 1
  • Tucker Carlson3%
40 more
  • Ron DeSantis3%▼ 1
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Brian Kemp1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Josh Hawley<1%
  • Rand Paul<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Byron Donalds<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
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  • Mike Pence<1%
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  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Joe Kent<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
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  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%JD Vance
  • JD Vance20%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
  • Jon Ossoff10%▼ 1
51 more
  • Gavin Newsom9%
  • Marco Rubio9%▲ 1
  • Kamala Harris4%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • Ron DeSantis2%
  • Tucker Carlson2%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2%
  • James Talarico1%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • JB Pritzker1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Rahm Emanuel1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Donald Trump Jr.1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.