Texas Governor winner? (2026)
67%Greg Abbott
- Greg Abbott67%▼ 1
- Gina Hinojosa33%▲ 3
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Number of Republican governors after the midterms?
The odds
22.9median
2029
Median 22.9Middle half 21.6 – 24.6
How the odds have moved
Median: 23.5 on Oct 20, 22.9 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 21 | 82% | 80¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 1.4K | |
| At least 22 | 71% | ▲ 1 | 69¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 2.4K |
| At least 23 | 47% | 43¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 1.4K | |
| At least 24 | 34% | 32¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 2.1K | |
| At least 25 | 18% | 14¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 805 | |
| At least 26 | 16% | ▲ 1 | 13¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 2.5K |
| At least 27 | 10% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 4.00 |
| At least 28 | 4% | ▼ 3 | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 164 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Number of Republican, USELECTION
Search ›-
An eye-popping number of Republicans now want Trump impeachedA new Politico poll reveals that GOP midterm voters support impeachment, as a bipartisan majority targets both the President and his Cabinet secretaries ahead of November. An eye-popping number of Republicans now want Trump impeached… -
New poll finds 2 in 3 Americans believe Donald Trump is enriching himself. And it includes a rising number of Republican-leaning votersA new poll reveals that nearly 2 in 3 Americans believe President Donald Trump is using his time in office to enrich himself, marking a significant shift in public opinion. This data, published by The Washington Post, shows that the most… -
Directive to keep Trump out of messaging appeared on GOP candidate’s siteElectronic Arts is closing down BioWare, one of the most influential video game studios that created the Mass Effect, Baldur’s Gate and Dragon Age series. EA announced Wednesday that it would close the studio and its Edmonton office and… -
Ukraine’s military Starlink is working again, Kyiv saysKYIV—Ukraine’s military Starlink system was working normally again on Saturday morning, the country’s defense minister said, raising hopes that the 10-day disruption of the country’s vital satellite internet service by Elon Musk’s SpaceX… -
Who is the Dan Sullivan accused of sabotaging Alaska’s Senate race? - The Boston GlobePETERSBURG, Alaska -- Ordinarily, the dark horse Senate campaign of an elusive, retired teacher in a tiny Alaskan fishing village would barely register for Sen. Dan Sullivan, the Republican incumbent running for reelection with President… -
Former GOP governor: "There will be a blue wave. We just don't know how deep."CNN Former GOP governor: ‘There will be a blue wave. We just don’t know how deep.’ A growing number of Republicans are warning of a grim midterm outcome for the party in November. Former Republican Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty gives his… -
Joseph Wyatt: Any regrets among WV congressional bloc? (Opinion)Word on the street is that a number of Republican incumbents are calling around to see if friends have a moving truck. An exception is Gov. Patrick Morrisey who isn't up for reelection. If he were, he might be making those calls, too… - Missouri judge retention elections: Who's on your ballot and what to know about their recordA long list of judges will go before Missouri voters this election, who will decide Nov. 3 whether they keep their jobs. All voters in the state will decide whether to retain a judge on the Missouri Supreme Court. Voters in the…
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Republicans Oppose Russia Waiver, Alberta Rejects Independence, Election Fraud Crackdown Expands: The Bulletin, Oct. 20Newsweek - Global Iran WarRussia-UkraineMiddle EastChina And AsiaLive BlogBetter PlanetAll World News A growing number of Republicans are raising concerns about President Donald Trump’s decision to waive sweeping new sanctions and tariffs… -
Vivek Ramaswamy's poll ad targeting rival stirs up Ohio governor raceWashington, Oct 22 (PTI) An election advertisement released by Ohio governor-aspirant Vivek Ramaswamy, featuring his opponent Amy Acton’s estranged mother, has kicked off a row angering Republicans and Democrats alike. The 60-second… -
🗳️ Get the most important election updates every weekThis story is part of the San Antonio Report’s 2026 Voter Guide. You can view all of the candidates on the Nov. 3 ballot here. Not all of them were eager to help. Several declined to sit down with us or provide references about their work… -
List of Republicans Breaking With Trump on Russia Sanctions WaiverOct 19, 2026 at 06:52 PM EDT A growing number of Republicans are raising concerns about President Donald Trump’s decision to waive sweeping new sanctions and tariffs targeting Russia, with House Speaker Mike Johnson saying he warned the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions