Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 6, 2028 · $4.3K traded · $1K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

81%Illinois
  • Illinois81%
  • New York80%▲ 2
  • Pennsylvania50%
  • Colorado45%
  • Wisconsin43%
  • Kansas37%
  • Maryland32%
  • Oregon27%▲ 1
  • New Jersey26%
  • Minnesota24%▲ 1
  • Washington20%

How the odds have moved

Illinois: 81% on Oct 20, 81% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Illinois 81% 69¢ 82¢ $1.22 60.00
New York 80% ▲ 2 77¢ 82¢ $1.22 84.00
Pennsylvania 50% 45¢ 57¢ $1.75 335
Colorado 45% 34¢ 46¢ $2.17 1.9K
Wisconsin 43% 31¢ 44¢ $2.27 633
Kansas 37% 26¢ 37¢ $2.70 1.5K
Maryland 32% 22¢ 34¢ $2.94 1.8K
Oregon 27% ▲ 1 22¢ 31¢ $3.23 1.3K
New Jersey 26% 18¢ 31¢ $3.23 3.2K
Minnesota 24% ▲ 1 21¢ 27¢ $3.70 1.6K
Washington 20% 21¢ 34¢ $2.94 772

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: New York

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Elections

Which states will redistrict before the midterms? (Before 2026)

99%California
  • California99%
  • Tennessee99%
  • Florida98%
22 more
  • Texas98%
  • Louisiana98%
  • Ohio98%
  • North Carolina97%
  • Utah2%
  • Minnesota2%
  • Missouri2%
  • Maryland2%
  • Indiana2%
  • Washington2%
  • Georgia2%
  • New York2%
  • New Jersey2%
  • Wisconsin2%
  • Alabama2%
  • Mississippi2%
  • Arizona2%
  • Illinois1%
  • Virginia1%
  • Kansas1%
  • South Carolina1%▼ 1
  • Nebraska1%
KalshiCloses Nov 1 · $220 today
Elections › President 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

17%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%▼ 1
  • Gavin Newsom17%
  • Jon Ossoff16%
50 more
  • Kamala Harris7%
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Andy Beshear3%
  • James Talarico3%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Bernie Sanders1%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • J.B. Pritzker1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Roy Cooper<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

44%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance44%
  • Marco Rubio15%
  • Ron DeSantis3%
40 more
  • Tucker Carlson3%
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Brian Kemp1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Josh Hawley<1%
  • Rand Paul<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Byron Donalds<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Joe Kent<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • John McEntee<1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%JD Vance
  • JD Vance21%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
  • Gavin Newsom10%▲ 1
51 more
  • Jon Ossoff9%
  • Marco Rubio9%
  • Kamala Harris4%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Ron DeSantis3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • James Talarico2%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Tucker Carlson1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • JB Pritzker1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Donald Trump Jr.1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Rahm Emanuel1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.