Nigerian presidential election winner? (2027)

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Feb 28, 2028 · $6.8K traded · $3.3K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

71%Bola Tinubu
  • Bola Tinubu71%
  • Peter Obi24%
  • Atiku Abubakar3%
  • Kashim Shettima2%

How the odds have moved

Bola Tinubu: 73% on Oct 20, 71% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Bola Tinubu 71% 71¢ 73¢ $1.37 7.7K
Peter Obi 24% 22¢ 27¢ $3.70 5.1K
Atiku Abubakar 3% 0¢ 7¢ $14.93 1.2K
Kashim Shettima 2% 0¢ 4¢ $24.39 21.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Nigerian, Bola Tinubu, Peter Obi

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  • You are unfit to rule Nigeria – Wike mocks Peter ObiDaily Post Nigeria · 38 h agoMinister of the Federal Capital Territory, FCT, Nyesom Wike, has mocked the Nigeria Democratic Congress, NDC, presidential candidate, Peter Obi, describing him as the 'president of social media' who is unfit to rule Nigeria. Wike stated…
  • 2027: Wike Gives Condition To Vote For Peter ObiNaija News · 39 h agoThe Minister of the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), Nyesom Wike, has said he would vote for the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC) presidential candidate, Peter Obi, if he were contesting as president of social media. The Minsiter also…
  • Nobody fears Peter Obi, He’s no threat to Tinubu — UmahiIdoma Voice Newspaper · 3 days agoBenue South 2027: Nelson Alapa, Dave Idoko, Samuel Godday, others declare support for Abba Moro’s re-election ‘Alia has done more for Idoma land than our own sons in power’ — Okpokwu Ogenyi 2027: Idoma group endorses Alia for second term…
  • Tinubu, Atiku trade words ova 'hunger and poverty' for NigeriaBBC News Pidgin · 32 h agoWia dis foto come from, @Bayo Onahuga/X, Atiku Abubakar/X President Bola Tinubu don accuse di opposition of creating "hunger and poverty" for Nigeria. Di Nigerian leader wey make di comment during di flag-off of im second term re-election…
  • Umahi: Peter Obi ‘Can Never Be The Best’ Presidential Material From Southeast@arisetv · 3 days agoWorks Minister Umahi says Peter Obi failed to consult Southeast leaders before his presidential bid, arguing the region has other qualified political figures. Nigeria’s Minister of Works, David Umahi, has said Peter Obi “can never be the…
  • Video: Peter Obi has made Obidients everybody’s enemy — SowunmiVanguard News · 3 days agoSowunmi made the allegation during an interview on Vanguard’s Politics Hub, where he criticised Obi’s political movement and argued that its supporters had become hostile to people who disagreed with them. “The problem with the Igbo agenda…
  • Peter Obi meets UK officials, diaspora Nigerians, vows to rebuild NigeriaBlueprint Newspapers Limited · 4 days agoOctober 22, 2026 Adejayan Gbenga Politics 0 The presidential candidate of the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC), Peter Obi, has disclosed that he met with British government officials and Nigerians in the diaspora during a visit to London…
  • Peter Obi promises support as family buries NDC supporter killed in EnuguPremium Times Nigeria · 3 days agoThe remains of Ifeanyi Nwolie, a supporter of the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC) who was killed by suspected thugs in Enugu State, have been laid to rest. Mr Nwolie, 43, was buried on Thursday amid tears at his home town in Affa, Udi…
  • Top 15 News Roundup For Latest Nigeria News October 24New Telegraph · 2 days agoHere is New Telegraph’s roundup of the Top 15 Nigerian news headlines making headlines today, Saturday, October 24, 2026. The Minister of Works, David Umahi, has launched another verbal attack on the Presidential Candidate of the Nigeria…
  • 2027: Igbo agenda group endorses Peter Obi for presidentTribune Online · 4 days agoThe Igbo Agenda Dialogue (IAD) has endorsed the presidential candidate of the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC), Peter Obi, for the 2027 presidential election, describing him as its preferred candidate to lead Nigeria. The organisation…
  • Tinubu Accuses Atiku, Obi Of Causing Hunger, PovertyDaily Report · 30 h agoPresident Bola Tinubu has accused former Vice President Atiku Abubakar, Peter Obi and other opposition figures of being responsible for hunger and poverty in Nigeria. “I hear my opponents talking about hunger and poverty. Who created it?…
  • Alake says no plot to assassinate Vice President Atiku AbubakarRealnews Magazine · 5 days ago…insists Timi Frank must prove this grave allegation THE All Progressives Congress Presidential Campaign Council has said that there is no plot to assassinate former Vice President Atiku Abubakar. In a statement made available to Realnews…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions