Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?
67Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 67KMiddle half 8K – 113K
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Jobs numbers in October 2026?
The odds
72Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 72KMiddle half 18K – 105K
How the odds have moved
Median: 72K on Oct 20, 72K now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -25,000 | 94% | 93¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 5.3K | |
| Above 0 | 86% | 84¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 4.5K | |
| Above 10,000 | 83% | ▲ 1 | 80¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 1.4K |
| Above 20,000 | 74% | ▲ 1 | 71¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 12.3K |
| Above 30,000 | 69% | ▲ 2 | 66¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 27.6K |
| Above 40,000 | 65% | 62¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 11.5K | |
| Above 50,000 | 59% | 58¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 22.4K | |
| Above 60,000 | 55% | 51¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | 2.1K | |
| Above 70,000 | 52% | ▲ 1 | 51¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 24.1K |
| Above 80,000 | 45% | ▲ 1 | 40¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | 15.3K |
| Above 90,000 | 36% | 33¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 2.4K | |
| Above 100,000 | 28% | ▼ 2 | 27¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 3.4K |
| Above 125,000 | 14% | 12¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 3.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Jobs
Search ›-
Firms 'holding back' on new jobs ahead of BudgetSome businesses are calling for the costs of employing staff to be brought down in the Budget on Wednesday. A publisher from Tavistock, Devon, said he was "holding back" from filling two new positions at his firm because of the cost of… -
Nationwide to cut 275 jobs in latest round since takeover of Virgin MoneyExclusive: Bosses tell staff cuts part of effort to ‘simplify’ operations and ‘remove duplication’ across wider workforce Nationwide building society is slashing another 275 jobs in the latest round of cuts since bank bosses pushed through… -
Trump announces $4.2B Audi manufacturing investment in Georgia, touts 30,000 auto jobsPresident Donald Trump announced during a midterm rally speech Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026, in Perry, Georgia, that Audi plans to invest $4.2 billion in a new manufacturing plant in Macon capable of producing 200,000 vehicles annually, while… -
I lost my job in a primary school due to endometriosisHayley lost her job as a teaching assistant last October, after being told she was unfit to work Hayley Locksley was 11 years old when she started her periods and excruciating pain became part of her life. "I used to spend every month in… -
Five Candidates For the NC State Football Head Coaching JobWho NC State Should Go After In Its Coaching Search Sports Illustrated Former head coach Dave Doeren was in place in Raleigh for 14 seasons, which felt like an eternity in today’s modern college football. The Wolfpack are due for a big… -
Bundesliga coaches reflect on relentless demands of the job after Vincent Kompany collapseVincent Kompany's collapse on Friday has prompted a number of coaches across German football to reflect on the demands of their profession while sending their best wishes to the Bayern Munich head coach. Kompany collapsed while watching… -
President Trump: Police in France aren’t allowed to do their jobPresident Donald Trump argued that open border policies led to widespread riots in France during a rally in Perry, Ga. President Trump: Police in France aren’t allowed to do their job President Donald Trump argued that open border policies… -
'Damaging Call': Kyle Whittingham Assesses Jason Beck's Job as Michigan's OCANN ARBOR, Mich. — Another week, more disappointment from the Michigan offense. The Wolverines had several chances to beat No. 6 Indiana on Saturday, and they even took the Hoosiers to overtime. But it was little thanks to Michigan's… -
Trump blasts Ossof as ‘far left extremist’ as he touts new Ga. jobs at rallyPresident Trump blasted Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff as a “far-left extremist,” as he promised new jobs at a Georgia rally Saturday. Trump ripped Ossoff for voting for policies he said brought about inflation and record-high illegal… -
Eight-Time Pro Bowl QB is an ‘Early Name’ Considered for NC State HC JobOct 24, 2026 at 07:18 PM EDT NC State has fired Dave Doeren as its head coach, and an eight-time Pro Bowl quarterback could take his place. According to CBS Sports' John Talty, Philip Rivers is an "early name that has come up with industry… -
Zohran Mamdani’s contempt for doing his job will cost him — and NYCThe Post’s exposure of Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s weird habit of not bothering to sign bills into law bodes ill for him and for the city. He’s taken the trouble to sign just one in his first 10 months, vs. 30, 47 and 28 for the last three… -
Democratic senator accused of 'political malpractice' after job ad ignites firestorm over DEI languageFox News contributor Mary Katharine Ham discusses Sen. Ed Markey's, D-Mass., internship posting encouraging 'underrepresented candidates' to apply and argues its DEI-focused language comes close to violating hiring laws on 'The Will Cain…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions