Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?

Kalshi Economy › Jobs Closes Dec 4 · $3.8K traded · $1.1K at stake · prices read 4 min ago

The odds

67Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 67KMiddle half 8K – 113K

How the odds have moved

Median: 71K on Oct 20, 67K now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above -25,000 84% 80¢ 88¢ $1.14 889
Above 0 78% 73¢ 83¢ $1.20 525
Above 10,000 74% 69¢ 79¢ $1.27 346
Above 20,000 71% 66¢ 76¢ $1.32 273
Above 30,000 66% 61¢ 70¢ $1.43 699
Above 40,000 63% 58¢ 68¢ $1.47 270
Above 50,000 59% 54¢ 64¢ $1.56 584
Above 60,000 54% 49¢ 59¢ $1.69 538
Above 70,000 48% 43¢ 53¢ $1.89 311
Above 80,000 41% 37¢ 45¢ $2.22 443
Above 90,000 37% 32¢ 42¢ $2.38 707
Above 100,000 31% 26¢ 36¢ $2.78 84.00
Above 125,000 19% 14¢ 24¢ $4.17 1.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Jobs

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  • Firms 'holding back' on new jobs ahead of BudgetBBC News · 13 h agoSome businesses are calling for the costs of employing staff to be brought down in the Budget on Wednesday. A publisher from Tavistock, Devon, said he was "holding back" from filling two new positions at his firm because of the cost of…
  • Trump announces $4.2B Audi manufacturing investment in Georgia, touts 30,000 auto jobsFox Business · 17 h agoPresident Donald Trump announced during a midterm rally speech Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026, in Perry, Georgia, that Audi plans to invest $4.2 billion in a new manufacturing plant in Macon capable of producing 200,000 vehicles annually, while…
  • Nationwide to cut 275 jobs in latest round since takeover of Virgin Moneythe Guardian · 13 h agoExclusive: Bosses tell staff cuts part of effort to ‘simplify’ operations and ‘remove duplication’ across wider workforce Nationwide building society is slashing another 275 jobs in the latest round of cuts since bank bosses pushed through…
  • Five Candidates For the NC State Football Head Coaching Job@WolfpackMaven · 20 h agoWho NC State Should Go After In Its Coaching Search Sports Illustrated Former head coach Dave Doeren was in place in Raleigh for 14 seasons, which felt like an eternity in today’s modern college football. The Wolfpack are due for a big…
  • I lost my job in a primary school due to endometriosisBBC News · 14 h agoHayley lost her job as a teaching assistant last October, after being told she was unfit to work Hayley Locksley was 11 years old when she started her periods and excruciating pain became part of her life. "I used to spend every month in…
  • 'Damaging Call': Kyle Whittingham Assesses Jason Beck's Job as Michigan's OCMichigan Wolverines On SI · 24 h agoANN ARBOR, Mich. — Another week, more disappointment from the Michigan offense. The Wolverines had several chances to beat No. 6 Indiana on Saturday, and they even took the Hoosiers to overtime. But it was little thanks to Michigan's…
  • Bundesliga coaches reflect on relentless demands of the job after Vincent Kompany collapseYahoo Sports · 18 h agoVincent Kompany's collapse on Friday has prompted a number of coaches across German football to reflect on the demands of their profession while sending their best wishes to the Bayern Munich head coach. Kompany collapsed while watching…
  • President Trump: Police in France aren’t allowed to do their jobFox News · 20 h agoPresident Donald Trump argued that open border policies led to widespread riots in France during a rally in Perry, Ga. President Trump: Police in France aren’t allowed to do their job President Donald Trump argued that open border policies…
  • Paedophile sentenced for nursery job email fraudBBC News · 2 days agoFollowing his conviction it emerged he had applied for a job at another nursery after his arrest, using fake email addresses to send bogus references to secure employment. On Friday, Parry, formerly ... Paedophile sentenced for nursery job…
  • Is a job guarantee the solution to mass AI unemployment?the Guardian · 2 days agoGuardian journalism is independent. We earn a commission if you buy something through an affiliate link. Learn more. An old idea springs anew as a chorus of influential voices predicts that AI may trigger crises of vast magnitude In a…
  • 'Wait Wait' for October 24, 2026: With Not My Job guest Daniel VosovicNPR · 28 h agoJENNIFER MILLS, BYLINE: The following program was taped in front of an audience of real, live people. SLADE: Now here's your host at Miller Auditorium in Kalamazoo, Michigan, Peter Sagal. Thank you, Alzo. Thank you, Kalamazoo. SAGAL: Thank…
  • Zohran Mamdani’s contempt for doing his job will cost him — and NYCNew York Post · 25 h agoThe Post’s exposure of Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s weird habit of not bothering to sign bills into law bodes ill for him and for the city. He’s taken the trouble to sign just one in his first 10 months, vs. 30, 47 and 28 for the last three…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions