Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 24, 2026

Kalshi Tech › AI Closes tomorrow 10:00 AM ET · $16.9K today · $21K traded · $20.4K at stake · prices read 5 min ago

The odds

62%Above 73.0%
47.8%75.9%

How the odds have moved

Above 51.7%: 94% on Oct 21, 100% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 51.7% 100% ▲ 1 99¢ 3.5K
Above 55.6% 100% ▲ 6 99¢ 3.1K
Above 57.6% 100% ▲ 4 99¢ 5.8K
Above 59.1% 100% 99¢ 2.9K
Above 63.2% 99% 98¢ 1.2K
Above 65.4% 99% ▲ 35 99¢ 1.7K
Above 69.1% 99% 99¢ 1.3K
Above 70.1% 99% 99¢ 1.4K
Above 73.0% 62% ▲ 31 48¢ 94¢ $1.06 629

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Closed Token Volume

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Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

71%No release by October 31
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  • October 2715%▲ 6
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  • October 293%▼ 3
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  • October 312%▲ 1
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  • October 251%▼ 2
  • October 241%
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  • October 23<1%▼ 4

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.