Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 24, 2026
62%Above 73.0%
47.8%75.9%
Install
Open vs. Closed Token market share (Vercel) on Oct 22, 2026
Settled 67.7%A day before, traders had a median of 67.37%
The last odds before it closed
—
- ✓ Above 47.3%100%
- ✓ Above 51.9%100%▲ 2
- ✓ Above 53.7%100%▲ 5
- ✓ Above 54.9%100%▲ 5
- ✓ Above 59.7%100%▲ 20
- ✓ Above 61.9%100%▲ 14
- ✓ Above 63.8%100%▲ 14
- ✓ Above 66.5%100%▲ 14
- Above 68.2%7%▼ 62
How the odds have moved
Above 47.3%: 92% on Oct 21, 100% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Above 47.3% | 100% | 3.3K | ||||
| ✓ Above 51.9% | 100% | 3.0K | ||||
| ✓ Above 53.7% | 100% | 2.7K | ||||
| ✓ Above 54.9% | 100% | 1.8K | ||||
| ✓ Above 59.7% | 100% | 1.5K | ||||
| ✓ Above 61.9% | 100% | 2.6K | ||||
| ✓ Above 63.8% | 100% | 2.1K | ||||
| ✓ Above 66.5% | 100% | 3.4K | ||||
| ✗ Above 68.2% | 7% | 3.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Closed Token, Vercel
Search ›-
Vercel wants static credentials gone. Its own GitHub Actions deploy still needs oneCount the long-lived tokens your deploy job can read right now. One is plenty, and a recent npm worm that scraped tokens straight out of CI pipelines made that point the expensive way. Vercel has now told its Marketplace vendors to get rid… -
Vercel Ship 2026: agents can keep their files between runs nowTL;DR: Vercel Ship 2026 was mostly agent launches. The one I'd look at first is Drives, which lets an agent in Vercel Sandbox keep its files between runs. We haven't used any of it yet, so this is what Vercel announced plus Vercel's own… -
Build a Free AI Support Chatbot with FastAPI, Groq, and Vercel (Complete Guide)If you've wanted to add an AI chatbot to a website but assumed it needs a paid OpenAI account, a vector database cluster, and a weekend of DevOps — this guide is for you. We'll build a customer support chatbot that answers questions only… -
Vercel moved to kill static credentials. Then developers spotted its own deployment token.Blueconic sets this cookie as a unique identifier for the BlueConic profile. YouTube sets this cookie to manage feature rollout and experimentation. It helps Google control which new features or interface changes are shown to users as part… -
Vercel alternatives in 2026: where to run the whole app, backend includedPrices are approximate, from each provider's pricing page, as of October 2026. The backend does not fit in a function. Vercel functions run up to 300 seconds on the free plan and 800 on Pro. Queue consumers, long imports, bots and… -
Vercel AI Gateway free tier: $5 of credits, real limits"Free tier" on a gateway usually means one of two things: a meter you discover after the bill, or a teaser that evaporates the moment you enter a card. The Vercel AI Gateway free tier is neither — it is $5 of credits per 30 days, real and… -
Add long-term memory to a Vercel AI SDK chatbot (middleware, Next.js route and agent tools)Disclosure: I'm Mohammed, founder of MemorySync. I drafted this article with AI assistance and reviewed it for accuracy against the official MemorySync and AI SDK docs. The code is adapted from the docs and I haven't run it. Keep your… -
Coolify: The Open-Source Self-Hosted PaaS That Replaces Vercel, Heroku, and NetlifyYou deploy to Vercel. It works. Then the bill arrives. Or you hit a limit. Or you need a database that isn't on their approved list. Or you just want to run something on a $5 VPS you already own. Most developers know the managed PaaS… -
Vercel Labs Open-Sources fx: A Zig Coding Agent Designed to Be EmbeddedLive Webinar and Q&A: Scaling OpenTelemetry: Managing Collectors, Configuration, and Cost (Nov 19, 2026) Save Your Seat In this article series, we try to establish agentic AI architecture as a new type of software architecture that will… -
Vercel vs VPS for Next.js: The $4 Server That Really Costs $104/MonthVercel Pro is $20/seat plus metered usage; a Hetzner VPS is ~€4/month flat. I ran the bill math on four real workloads to find where the crossover hits. Vercel's pricing page has moved from simple tiers to credit-based billing, so let me… -
Why Your Vercel Function Still Times Out at 60 Seconds (Even Though the Real Limit Is Much Higher)While building my AI-powered Website Audit Tool, I ran into a production issue that only appeared on a handful of unusually slow websites. They consistently failed with a timeout. At first, I blamed Vercel. More specifically, I blamed what… - Lambda Web Functions vs Workers vs Vercel: 128 Reqs [2026]Below is a full breakdown of specs, pricing, benchmarks, real-world use cases, and a migration guide for teams deciding where their next HTTP workload should run, as the three platforms looked on October 21, 2026, within the broader cloud…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.