Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
4%December 31
- October 31<1%
- December 314%▼ 1
Install
Number of data centers in Ohio this year? (December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET)
The odds
266.8median
255335
Median 266.8
How the odds have moved
Median: 265 on Oct 19, 266.8 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ At least 245 | 98% | ▲ 13 | $1.02 | 295 | ||
| ✓ At least 255 | 97% | ▲ 26 | $1.03 | 358 | ||
| At least 265 | 54% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 18.00 | |
| At least 275 | 32% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 36.00 | |
| At least 305 | 19% | 1¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 264 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: PM ET, Ohio
Search ›-
Bucs At Panthers: LIVE Pewter GameDay Show Sunday at 1:00 PM ETHome | Articles | Bucs At Panthers: LIVE Pewter GameDay Show Sunday at 1:00 PM ET Pewter Report’s popular in-game LIVE Pewter GameDay show returns on the PewterReportTV YouTube channel on Sunday, October 25th at 1:00 p.m. ET as the Bucs… -
WATCH LIVE: President Trump Holds Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa – 7:30 PM ETPresident Trump is scheduled to speak at a campaign rally in Sioux City, Iowa, tonight to stump for Iowa GOP Senate Nominee and current Congresswoman Ashley Hinson, and other statewide and Congressional candidates. Trump posted his list of… - Live at 1 PM ET: California’s Bullet Train: Speeding Into Absurdity — The Climate Realism Show #222On Episode #222 of The Climate Realism Show, we will examine what might be the world’s greatest climate grift, the California train that even Gov. Gavin Newsom said may never be built in our lifetimes, as well as other Crazy Climate News…
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PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust Reschedules Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call to 6: 30 PM ET on Thursday, October 29Published on 10/23/2026 at 01:50 pm EDT PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (NYSE: PMT) will announce results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, in a news release to be issued after the market close on Thursday, October 29, 2026. The… - Assessed Control of Terrain in Taiz and Lahij Governorates, as of October 22, 2026 at 2:00 PM ETA map of the Assessed Control of Terrain in Taiz and Lahij Governorates, as of October 22, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, produced by ISW
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WATCH LIVE: President Trump Holds Midterm Rally in Clemson, South Carolina – 7 PM ETPresident Trump is speaking at a midterm rally in Clemson, South Carolina, tonight. The President is stumping for South Carolina Attorney General and Republican gubernatorial nominee Alan Wilson, and Senator Darline Graham, who was… -
WATCH LIVE: Trump Participates in White House Roundtable on Cybercrime – 2:30 PM ETPresident Trump will participate in a roundtable at the White House today focused on the Trump administration’s efforts to combat cybercrime. Seniors, children, and low-income families are disproportionately targeted by online cybercrime… -
Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles Odds, Betting Lines, Expert picks, Game Projections, DFS Projections and Player Prop Projections - Monday 10/26 8:15 PM ETNFL odds, lines, spreads: 2026 Week 7 picks, predictions from proven model 2026 NFL Week 7 odds, score predictions: SportsLine AI reveals picks for every game Cowboys vs. Eagles prediction, line, odds: Expert releases his spread pick for… - Cleveland Browns vs. Tennessee Titans Odds, Betting Lines, Expert picks, Game Projections, DFS Projections and Player Prop Projections - Sunday 10/25 1:00 PM ETNFL odds, lines, spreads: 2026 Week 7 picks, predictions from proven model 2026 NFL Week 7 odds, score predictions: SportsLine AI reveals picks for every game Cowboys vs. Eagles prediction, line, odds: Expert releases his spread pick for…
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LIVE DISCUSSION: Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets, 7:30 PM ETFirst of the season! New jerseys, new court, new Nets. Right? It’s a new era in Brooklyn, an uncertain one, but one in which the Nets aren’t trying to lose games to improve their draft position. That was the reality over the past two… - Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Odds, Betting Lines, Expert picks, Game Projections, DFS Projections and Player Prop Projections - Friday 10/23 10:00 PM ETNuggets vs. Thunder odds, line: Proven model reveals picks for Thursday, Oct. 22 matchup New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics odds, line: Proven model reveals picks for Friday, Oct. 23 matchup 76ers vs. Cavaliers predictions, odds, line…
- Milwaukee Bucks vs. Washington Wizards Odds, Betting Lines, Expert picks, Game Projections, DFS Projections and Player Prop Projections - Wednesday 10/21 7:00 PM ETWarriors vs. Lakers odds, line: Proven model reveals picks for Wednesday, Oct. 21 matchup Timberwolves vs. Heat odds, line: Proven model reveals 2026 NBA picks for Wednesday, Oct. 21 76ers vs. Cavaliers predictions, odds, line: Proven…
Related markets
All tech & science ›Which company has the best AI model end of October?
89%Google
- Google89%▼ 2
- Anthropic8%
- OpenAI<1%
18 more
- Meta<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Google market share this week (Google market share - Oct 19, 2026)
20.45%median
15.2%22.8%
Median 20.45%Middle half 20.27% – 20.64%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
53%Anthropic
- Anthropic53%▲ 4
- Google36%▼ 4
- OpenAI6%
12 more
- Meta1%
- xAI1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Baidu<1%
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1,410median
1,3801,480
Median 1,410Middle half 1,405 – 1,415
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
70%No release by October 31
- No release by October 3170%
- October 2713%▲ 1
- October 295%
11 more
- October 264%▲ 1
- October 303%▲ 2
- October 283%▼ 1
- October 311%▼ 1
- October 201%▼ 12
- October 19<1%▼ 2
- October 21<1%▼ 5
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 23<1%▼ 4
- October 24<1%
- October 25<1%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions