Los Angeles Mayor winner? (2026)
55%Nithya Raman
- Nithya Raman55%
- Karen Bass45%▼ 1
Install
Oakland Mayor winner? (2026)
The odds
95%Barbara Lee
- Barbara Lee95%▲ 1
- Brenda Grisham4%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Barbara Lee: 93% on Oct 20, 95% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barbara Lee | 95% | ▲ 1 | 93¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 2.2K |
| Brenda Grisham | 4% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 2.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Oakland Mayor, Barbara Lee, Brenda Grisham
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Mayor Barbara Lee Holds Special State of the City Address in Deep East OaklandIn partnership with Rise East and the 40×40 Council, Oakland Mayor Barbara Lee held a special 2026 State of the City East Oakland community conversation on Oct. 14. The purpose of bringing a State of the City address directly to the… -
Oakland City Council Rejects Police Commission NomineesOakland’s Police Commission went back to the drawing board on Tuesday after the City Council rejected two nominees to the law enforcement watchdog group over conflict of interest concerns. Thanks to an obscure line of code in the city… -
Green Party Finally Wins OneApril 1, 1999 / 1:31 PM EST / AP Audie Elizabeth Bock decided to run for the California Assembly with the backing of the Green Party, going up against a well-known former Oakland mayor who outspent her 20-1. Bock, whose last bid for office… -
‘Keep Your Services’ Say Asian Community Leaders, Amid Fear of New Public Charge RulesAsian Americans are facing the double whammy of possibly being cut from MediCal if they cannot meet new work requirements, as well as fear of the new public charge rule. OAKLAND, California — The new public charge rule does not apply to… -
Oakland residents are increasingly optimistic about the city’s future, according to a new pollAdd The Oaklandside as a Preferred Source on Google so you never miss our reporting when you search.🔍 Oakland has had no shortage of problems in recent years. But according to a recent survey, many residents think the city is turning a new… -
San Leandro Ballot Error Traced to City Officials' Error—The mix-up that resulted in San Leandro voters receiving incorrect ballots two weeks ago stemmed from an error by city officials, Alameda County Registrar of Voters Cynthia Cornejo said last week. Cornejo reiterated that city officials… -
Barbara Lee faces 3 candidates in Nov. 3 Oakland mayoral electionKiley Russell writes primarily for Local News Matters on issues related to equity and the environment. A Bay Area native, he has lived most of his life in Oakland. He studied journalism at San Francisco State University, worked for the… -
Opponents Smear Effective African American Transit Director as Election NearsBy Kitty Kelly Epstein I am an academic and a community activist. I take women’s issues, including workplace harassment and discrimination, seriously. I have been following the AC Transit Ward 3 election and have become concerned about… -
SheVotes: Inflection PointWomen Voters Head Into the Midterms Frustrated, Still Want More Women in Office, and See a Higher Bar for a Woman President, New Poll Finds Newswise — October 20, 2026 (Washington, D.C.) − Less than a month before the midterm elections, an… -
Tre and Shawn Lemons – A Community Service Love StoryDiscover the inspiring story of Tre and Shawn Lemons and how their dedication to community service is making a lasting impact. Sign-up for the Top 5 newsletter Donate/ Support Our Work Contribute to the Defender Network How A Busy… -
Journalism’s Black Giants: Elevating Our Future Together #shortsHonoring the giants of Black journalism by mentoring the next generation. Join us as we build a future of excellence, one story at a time. Learning from the architects of modern news. Mentoring the next generation of journalists requires… -
Down-ballot stakes: Black women judges fear voter drop-offBlack women judges are sounding the alarm on voter drop-off, warning that down-ballot races are critical to the future of our judicial system. Your Vote Matters: Avoid Voter Intimidation Now! #shorts Black-Owned Banks Surge: Deposits…
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23%chance▼ 1
New York Attorney General Election Winner
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions