What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Before 2027)

Kalshi Tech › AI Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $14 today · $8.9K traded · $2.7K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

8%Clip-on device for clothing

Clip-on device for clothing8%
Earbuds/Headphones7%
Glasses6%
Computer4%
Phone3%
Tablet3%
Watch3%
Ring3%
Necklace3%
Head-mounted display3%

How the odds have moved

Clip-on device for clothing: 8% on Oct 20, 8% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Clip-on device for clothing	8%	7¢	8¢	$12.50	32.2K
Earbuds/Headphones	7%	6¢	7¢	$14.29	67.6K
Glasses	6%	5¢	6¢	$16.67	18.5K
Computer	4%	3¢	4¢	$25.00	3.5K
Phone	3%	2¢	3¢	$33.33	15.8K
Tablet	3%	2¢	3¢	$33.33	2.6K
Watch	3%	2¢	3¢	$33.33	4.8K
Ring	3%	2¢	3¢	$33.33	4.8K
Necklace	3%	2¢	3¢	$33.33	6.8K
Head-mounted display	3%	2¢	3¢	$33.33	3.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: OpenAI, ChatGPT, Jony Ive and OpenAI

Search ›

Texas Sues OpenAI, Altman Over ChatGPT Safety Claims@law360 · 32 h agoThe Texas attorney general's office sued OpenAI and its chief executive Sam Altman in state court Friday, alleging the company breached consumer protection laws by unleashing a chatbot that often gives harmful advice and is addictive to…
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton sues ChatGPT-maker OpenAI@kbtxnews · 34 h agoTEXAS (The Texas Tribune) - Attorney General Ken Paxton is suing OpenAI, the maker of ChatGPT, for allegedly deceiving and harming Texans. This is the latest in a flurry of lawsuits filed against Big Tech companies and private corporations…
Sweden's Government Offices Block ChatGPT and Claude, Keep Microsoft CopilotDecrypt · 11 h agoSweden's Government Offices—the administrative body supporting the prime minister and cabinet—will block ChatGPT and Claude on staff computers from Monday, directing civil servants to Microsoft's Copilot as the only approved AI tool…
Texas AG Ken Paxton sues OpenAI over ChatGPT safety claimsHouston Chronicle · 32 h agoTexas Attorney General Ken Paxton is suing technology company OpenAI for allegedly failing to protect Texans from the harms of using ChatGPT. Paxton speaks during a news conference with U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright in Houston on…
OpenAI Opens ChatGPT Advertising to Nigerian BusinessesProduct Reviews · 2 days agoThe rollout introduces conversational monetization to one of Africa’s most vibrant digital economies, granting local organizations direct access to a rapidly expanding user base that relies on generative AI for daily productivity…
OpenAI now trains its frontier AI models with no internet accessThe Verge · 33 h agoAI agents can still communicate without a network connection, OpenAI found. OpenAI paused training its frontier AI models in September, after disclosing several incidents in which its AI agents broke out of their testing environments to…
OpenAI takes ChatGPT models to Google Cloudthehansindia.com · 3 days agoOpenAI is expanding its cloud reach with Google, giving businesses more flexibility while Microsoft remains its primary cloud partner. OpenAI is making its artificial intelligence models widely available by bringing ChatGPT technology to…
Uber rolls out OpenAI’s ChatGPT Work to all 30,000 global employeesAdgully · 2 days agoUber has rolled out ChatGPT Work, OpenAI’s enterprise AI agent, to its global workforce of more than 30,000 employees. The companies announced the expansion on October 22, following a pilot with 1,000 employees. It is Uber’s first…
OpenAI agents discussed ways to escape their sandbox on public wikiArs OpenForum · 30 h agoIf OpenAI’s public characterization is substantially accurate, its agents engaged in behavior they were not supposed to perform and escaped relevant controls. The agents subsequently interacted with ... OpenAI agents discussed ways to…
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton sues OpenAI and Sam Altman over ChatGPT safety claimsCrypto Briefing · 34 h agoThe Collin County lawsuit alleges OpenAI misled users about ChatGPT's risks and failed to protect children from harm OpenAI / Wikimedia Commons (Public domain) Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton has sued OpenAI and its CEO Sam Altman. He…
Uber puts all 30,000 employees on ChatGPT WorkTechCrunch · 3 days agoBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. Uber and OpenAI announced an expansion of their partnership on Thursday, with the ride-share giant telling TechCrunch that its entire global workforce — some 30,000 people…
Forced to pick, Grok’s AI model chooses Republicans. OpenAI’s picks Democrats.TechCrunch · 18 h agoBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. Most AI chatbots won’t outright tell you who to vote for, but some of the models behind them will. A new study found that when forced to choose in this year’s upcoming…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onSam Altman, The New York Times, the Associated Press

Trading closesJan 1, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$8.9K (160,048 contracts)

Today$14

This week$170

At stake$2.7K

In the news120 headlines today, 1,790 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Phone before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.