The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above 0.547
98%
95¢
$1.03
Above 0.549
98%
95¢
$1.03
Above 0.551
98%
95¢
$1.03
Above 0.553
98%
95¢
$1.03
Above 0.557
97%
94¢
$1.03
Above 0.559
97%
93¢
$1.04
Above 0.561
95%
90¢
$1.05
Above 0.563
87%
82¢
92¢
$1.09
Above 0.565
76%
71¢
81¢
$1.23
Above 0.567
62%
57¢
67¢
$1.49
Above 0.569
47%
42¢
52¢
$1.92
Above 0.571
33%
28¢
38¢
$2.63
Above 0.573
20%
15¢
25¢
$4.00
Above 0.575
10%
5¢
15¢
$6.67
Above 0.577
5%
9¢
$11.11
Above 0.579
3%
6¢
$16.67
Above 0.581
3%
5¢
$20.00
Above 0.583
3%
5¢
$20.00
Above 0.585
3%
5¢
$20.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.
