No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
✓ ↑ 101.50
>99%
▲ 50
100¢
100¢
$125
✓ ↑ 102.00
>99%
▲ 50
100¢
100¢
$2.9K
✓ ↑ 102.00
>99%
▲ 50
100¢
100¢
$280
✓ ↑ 102.00
>99%
100¢
100¢
$60
✓ ↑ 102.00
>99%
▲ 19
100¢
100¢
$110
↑ 102.00
>99%
100¢
100¢
$140
✓ ↑ 102.50
>99%
▲ 19
100¢
100¢
$1K
✓ ↑ 102.50
>99%
▲ 32
100¢
100¢
$1.9K
✓ ↑ 102.50
>99%
100¢
100¢
$660
↑ 102.50
60%
▲ 35
55¢
65¢
$1.54
$2K
↑ 103.00
13%
▲ 7
9¢
16¢
$6.25
$7.5K
↑ 103.50
13%
▼ 5
1¢
12¢
$8.26
$4.9K
↑ 104.00
13%
1¢
7¢
$14.49
$3.9K
↑ 104.50
13%
1¢
6¢
$17.86
$1.4K
↑ 105.00
13%
▼ 4
0¢
2¢
$55.56
$1.2K
↑ 105.50
13%
▲ 45
1¢
98¢
$1.02
$185
↓ 98.00
3%
6¢
$16.95
$265
↓ 98.50
14%
0¢
99¢
$1.01
$171
↓ 99.00
14%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$270
↓ 99.50
14%
0¢
2¢
$52.63
$288
↓ 100.00
14%
0¢
10¢
$10.00
$747
↓ 100.50
42%
1¢
97¢
$1.03
$1.4K
↓ 101.00
42%
▲ 20
1¢
70¢
$1.43
$3.7K
↓ 101.50
>99%
▲ 22
100¢
100¢
$6.7K
✓ ↓ 102.00
>99%
100¢
100¢
$1.3K
✓ ↓ 102.00
>99%
▲ 22
100¢
100¢
$1.8K
✓ ↓ 102.00
>99%
▲ 6
100¢
100¢
$2.1K
✓ ↓ 102.00
>99%
100¢
100¢
$10
✓ ↓ 102.50
>99%
100¢
100¢
$1K
✓ ↓ 102.50
>99%
100¢
100¢
$198
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
United States Dollar Index nears 102.00 as traders brace for central bank decisionsFXStreet · 21 h agoThe US Dollar Index (DXY) edges higher on Monday as traders reposition ahead of a busy week of central bank decisions across major economies that could trigger sharp market swings. At the time of writing, the DXY, which tracks the US…
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: DXY holds bullish bias above 101.50 ahead of FOMCFXStreet · 26 h agoHence, the focus will remain glued to the outcome of a two-day FOMC meeting on Wednesday and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's comments during the post-meeting press conference. Apart from this, the release of the Advance US Q3 GDP report and the…
Live news: Oil tumbles and brazil stocks plunge as markets brace for a pivotal week@coindesk · 23 h agoBitcoin holds above $80,000 as investors await Microsoft and Amazon earnings alongside rate decisions from the Fed, BOJ and ECB Brent crude is down more than 6% from Friday’s high, trading just below $110 a barrel as hopes of a deal…
Currency markets subdued ahead of pivotal central bank weekCNBC · 30 h agoMajor currencies traded in tight ranges on Monday to begin a busy week of central bank decisions and corporate earnings, while a pullback in oil prices and Treasury yields weighed on the dollar. Oil prices eased, with Brent crude futures…
Euro-to-Dollar Week Ahead Forecast: Downtrend Risks ResumingPound Sterling Live | News · 24 h agoThe Euro to Dollar exchange rate has worked off the oversold conditions that marked its early-October lows, and with that relief now spent, we see the risk of the broader downtrend resuming. The picture is complicated by decisions from the…
Euro slips as traders await Fed and ECB monetary policy decisionsFXStreet · 20 h agoEUR/USD edges lower on Monday as a rebound in the US Dollar (USD) weighs on the Euro (EUR) ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) and European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy decisions. Meanwhile, France’s worsening fiscal outlook…
Gold and Bitcoin become 2026’s worst major assets in historic firstFinbold · 19 h agoFor the first time ever, the world’s largest commodity – Gold – and the first and largest cryptocurrency – Bitcoin (BTC) – emerged as the two worst-performing major assets in 2026. This year is not the first in which both assets were in…
Canadian Dollar eases from six-week high ahead of Fed, BoC interest rate decisionsFXStreet · 18 h agoUSD/CAD rebounds on Monday, snapping a seven-day losing streak as traders reposition ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) and Bank of Canada (BoC) monetary policy announcement. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.4023…
Japanese Yen weakens with Fed and BoJ monetary policy meetings in focusFXStreet · 16 h agoUSD/JPY trades with a positive bias on Monday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) underperforms its major peers, while a firmer US Dollar (USD) adds support to the pair. At the time of writing, USD/JPY trades around 157.42 after slipping to 156.08…
British Pound slips as Fed decision, UK budget test Sterling bullsFXStreet · 19 h agoThe Pound Sterling loses some ground against the US Dollar, drifting lower by some 0.22% as traders wait for the release of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision on Tuesday and Wednesday and also brace for the release of the UK’s…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions