What will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in October 2026?

Polymarket Finance › Currencies Closes Fri 5:00 PM ET · $1.4K today · $48.2K traded · $2.3K at stake · prices read 23 min ago

The odds

102.61high with an even chance
Dollar Index now 102.25 +0.28%

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 102.61 and as low as 101.07.

  • Reaches 102.5060%
  • Reaches 103.0013%
  • Reaches 103.5013%
  • Reaches 104.0013%
  • Reaches 104.5013%
  • Reaches 105.0013%
  • Reaches 105.5013%
  • Falls to 101.50>99%
  • Falls to 101.0042%
  • Falls to 100.5042%
  • Falls to 100.0014%
  • Falls to 99.5014%
  • Falls to 99.0014%
  • Falls to 98.5014%
  • Falls to 98.003%

Already reached: ↑ 102.50, ↑ 102.00, ↑ 101.50, ↑ 102.00, ↑ 102.50, ↓ 102.00

How the odds have moved

Falls to 101.00: 50% on Sep 25, 42% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 5, 2 AM ETFalls to 101.00: 60% → 28%
  2. Oct 1, 2 PM ETFalls to 101.00: 71% → 40%
  3. Sep 25, 8 AM ETFalls to 101.00: 50% → 77%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
✓ ↑ 101.50 >99% ▲ 50 100¢ 100¢ $125
✓ ↑ 102.00 >99% ▲ 50 100¢ 100¢ $2.9K
✓ ↑ 102.00 >99% ▲ 50 100¢ 100¢ $280
✓ ↑ 102.00 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $60
✓ ↑ 102.00 >99% ▲ 19 100¢ 100¢ $110
↑ 102.00 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $140
✓ ↑ 102.50 >99% ▲ 19 100¢ 100¢ $1K
✓ ↑ 102.50 >99% ▲ 32 100¢ 100¢ $1.9K
✓ ↑ 102.50 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $660
↑ 102.50 60% ▲ 35 55¢ 65¢ $1.54 $2K
↑ 103.00 13% ▲ 7 9¢ 16¢ $6.25 $7.5K
↑ 103.50 13% ▼ 5 1¢ 12¢ $8.26 $4.9K
↑ 104.00 13% 1¢ 7¢ $14.49 $3.9K
↑ 104.50 13% 1¢ 6¢ $17.86 $1.4K
↑ 105.00 13% ▼ 4 0¢ 2¢ $55.56 $1.2K
↑ 105.50 13% ▲ 45 1¢ 98¢ $1.02 $185
↓ 98.00 3% 6¢ $16.95 $265
↓ 98.50 14% 0¢ 99¢ $1.01 $171
↓ 99.00 14% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $270
↓ 99.50 14% 0¢ 2¢ $52.63 $288
↓ 100.00 14% 0¢ 10¢ $10.00 $747
↓ 100.50 42% 1¢ 97¢ $1.03 $1.4K
↓ 101.00 42% ▲ 20 1¢ 70¢ $1.43 $3.7K
↓ 101.50 >99% ▲ 22 100¢ 100¢ $6.7K
✓ ↓ 102.00 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $1.3K
✓ ↓ 102.00 >99% ▲ 22 100¢ 100¢ $1.8K
✓ ↓ 102.00 >99% ▲ 6 100¢ 100¢ $2.1K
✓ ↓ 102.00 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $10
✓ ↓ 102.50 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $1K
✓ ↓ 102.50 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $198

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Dollar Index

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions