Settled156.8610A day before, traders had a median of 158.27
The last odds before it closed
158.27median
Above 158.25965%
Above 158.26163%
Above 158.263—
Above 158.265—
Above 158.26763%
Above 158.26963%
Above 158.27160%
Above 158.27349%
Above 158.27549%
Above 158.277—
Above 158.279—
Above 158.28149%
8 more
Above 158.283—
Above 158.285—
Above 158.287—
Above 158.289—
Above 158.291—
Above 158.293—
Above 158.29531%
Above 158.29728%
How the odds have moved
Median: 158.27 on Oct 22, 158.27 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Last odds
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✗ Above 158.259
65%
5.00
✗ Above 158.261
63%
3.00
✗ Above 158.263
—
✗ Above 158.265
—
✗ Above 158.267
63%
3.00
✗ Above 158.269
63%
7.00
✗ Above 158.271
60%
3.00
✗ Above 158.273
49%
53.00
✗ Above 158.275
49%
28.00
✗ Above 158.277
—
✗ Above 158.279
—
✗ Above 158.281
49%
54.00
✗ Above 158.283
—
✗ Above 158.285
—
✗ Above 158.287
—
✗ Above 158.289
—
✗ Above 158.291
—
✗ Above 158.293
—
✗ Above 158.295
31%
1.00
✗ Above 158.297
28%
25.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.
