What will NYC’s average weekday bus speed be in December 2026?
8.27median
7.908.60
Median 8.27Middle half 8.13 – 8.42
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What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026?
The odds
94,154median
84,000102,000
Median 94,154Middle half 90,000 – 98,154
How the odds have moved
Median: 94,080 on Oct 19, 94,154 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 86,000 | 91% | 87¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 410 | |
| Above 88,000 | 84% | 79¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 10.00 | |
| Above 90,000 | 75% | 71¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 10.00 | |
| Above 92,000 | 64% | ▲ 1 | 60¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 20.00 |
| Above 94,000 | 51% | ▲ 1 | 47¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | |
| Above 96,000 | 38% | ▲ 1 | 34¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | |
| Above 98,000 | 26% | ▲ 1 | 22¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | |
| Above 100,000 | 13% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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362.4median
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Median 362.4Middle half 351.9 – 372.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions