Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
2%chance
Install
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year? (2026)
The odds
3%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 4% on Oct 20, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $31.25 | 2.0M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Public Health Emergency of International Concern, Hantavirus
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DEALING WITH THE EBOLA THREATThere should be effective mobilisation of trained health workers in addition to widespread public awareness campaigns on containment measures Early last May, the World Health Organisation (WHO) announced that the number of suspected Ebola… -
South Africa Readies 36 Hospitals for EbolaSOUTH AFRICA · ANALYSIS South Africa has named 36 hospitals to receive suspected Ebola patients, yet no confirmed case has been reported. For US readers, a Johannesburg connection does not by itself trigger US entry limits, but every… -
WHO commences Ebola vaccine trial in DR CongoThe World Health Organization (WHO) has launched the first clinical trial of an Ebola vaccine amid the ongoing outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo. WHO Director-General Tedros Ghebreyesus announced the development in a post on his… -
DR Congo launches major Ebola vaccine trial amid outbreakKinshasa: Health authorities in the Democratic Republic of the Congo administered the first vaccine doses on Friday in a major clinical trial aimed at halting the country's largest recorded outbreak of the Bundibugyo Ebola virus strain… -
WHO urges coordinated action as Ebola poses regional threat in AfricaThe World Health Organisation (WHO) has called for urgent collective action against Ebola, warning that the outbreak has become a regional public health concern. The development comes as the infection begins to spread across Central… - Five Chinese companies join UN’s MPP for Covid-19 medicinesFive pharmaceutical companies in China have signed up to the United Nation’s (UN) Medicine Patent Pool (MPP) which will allow them to produce generic versions of Pfizer's oral COVID-19 treatment, Paxlovid (nirmatrelvir/ritonavir), for…
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Nigeria Confirms First Ebola Case as Outbreak Spreads in AfricaOctober 20, 2026 Hour: 10:54 pm Health Minister Muhammad Ali Pate announced the diagnosis through a statement. The patient landed in Nigeria on an international flight from Uganda and went to a private medical facility in Abuja shortly… -
Cryo-EM and AI-Designed Scaffold Reveal How Andes Hantavirus Binds CellsResearchers at Albert Einstein College of Medicine in New York, Institut Pasteur in Paris, and LSU Health Shreveport have now resolved that interaction in near-atomic detail. Combining cryo-electron microscopy (cryo-EM) and functional… -
Hantavirus spike structure reveals recessed protocadherin-1 binding pocketA near-atomic-resolution structure shows how a recessed pocket assembled from four hantavirus glycoproteins recognizes protocadherin-1 and how two distinct classes of neutralizing antibodies block receptor engagement. -
The MV Hondius Hantavirus Outbreak—Lessons for Pandemic PreparednessPosted by cfelixcpa | May 26, 2026 | SF STAT! | 0 | The Andes hantavirus outbreak aboard the expedition vessel MV Hondius is likely to remain limited. Yet the fragmented international response reveals a deeper vulnerability in global… -
Hantavirus: How big is the risk for Bangladesh?Experts say the threat remains low if basic hygiene is maintained and contact with rodents is avoided Copyright: Any unauthorized use or reproduction of The Daily Star content for commercial purposes Prepare our children for the world, not… -
Scientists Reveal How Deadly Andes Hantavirus Attaches to Human CellsDiscovery may help develop treatments for Andes virus and other hantaviruses A Dangerous Virus Family "The best way to prove a rare bird exists is to take a picture of it," said Pablo Guardado-Calvo, Ph.D., deputy director of the Virology…
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All outbreaks ›Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?
4,811median
4,3005,000
Median 4,811Middle half 4,731 – 4,866
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
6,721high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 6,721.
- Reaches 4,500>99%
- Reaches 4,75098%
Already reached: ↑3.5k, ↑500, ↑1k, ↑2k, ↑3k, ↑4k
Plague pandemic in 2026?
2%chance
Measles cases in 2026?
6,773median
4,00011,000
Median 6,773Middle half 6,205 – 7,882
Next pandemic
22%Before 2030
- Before 203022%
- Before 202917%
- Before 202810%▲ 2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions