Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Kalshi Health › Outbreaks Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $2.4K traded · $1K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

4%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 5% on Oct 20, 4% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 4% 3¢ 4¢ $25.00 69.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: outbreak, pandemic, Ebola

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  • Plague risks in Russia and a dangerous delay on WHO pandemic agreementthe Guardian · 39 h agoLetters: Responding to an editorial on a potential plague outbreak, Dr Darren Mann deplores delays to the agreement, while Kent Buse says Britain could do more Plague risks in Russia and a dangerous delay on WHO pandemic agreement…
  • Ebola: Day Pandemic Killed An Aláàfin By Festus Adedayo, PhdPM Parrot · 47 h agoNigeria is treating the reported Ebola case discovered in Abuja with its usual levity. Authorities should remember that if you fail to cut the sapling of an Iroko tree while it is young and allow it to grow rotund in size, it will someday…
  • Ebola Update: DRC Outbreak Reaches 9735 Cases, Second Largest on Record@Contagion_Live · 31 h agoCDC says the Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the DRC is the second-largest Ebola outbreak on record, with 9735 confirmed cases and 4690 deaths. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reported 9735 total confirmed cases and 4690…
  • Who Launches Ebola Vaccine Trial in DRC As Outbreak WorsensBriefly · 47 h agoThe World Health Organisation has kicked off a landmark clinical trial in the Democratic Republic of the Congo to find a vaccine capable of fighting the Bundibugyo strain of the Ebola virus, for which no approved vaccine currently exists…
  • Bunia: Ebola Outbreak in Congo #GallerySocial News XYZ · 3 days agoBunia: A clinical trial volunteer receives a dose of a vaccine against the Bundibugyo Ebola virus during the Tumaini clinical trial in Bunia, eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), Oct. 23, 2026. (Photo: Xinhua... - Social News…
  • What to know about Ebola outbreak that has spread from Congo to multiple African countriesThe Washington Post · 5 days agoThe Washington Post The Ebola outbreak in Congo, which began in May, is spreading rapidly across Africa DAKAR, Senegal — The deadly Ebola outbreak that began in Congo in May is outpacing efforts to contain it, spreading to two other…
  • Bird flu outbreak at Utah mink farm sparks concerns about government responsethe Guardian · 44 h agoState veterinarian attempted to get help from federal government but was told USDA didn’t regulate mink farms An outbreak of bird flu at a mink farm in Utah – and the response from its owner and regulators – have sparked concerns from…
  • Kenya Ebola outbreak claims 2nd life as 9 cases confirmedDaily Sabah · 3 days agoKenya confirmed its second Ebola death Friday after a 65-year-old woman died while receiving treatment at an infectious disease facility, the Health Ministry said, bringing the death toll to two among nine confirmed cases. The woman…
  • U.S. measles cases more than double what they were last year as outbreak spreadsNPR · 36 h agoA sign is posted outside a Pennsylvania Department of Health measles vaccination clinic located in Lancaster County in Peach Bottom, Pa., Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2026. Matt Rourke/AP hide caption The U.S. is grappling with its worst resurgence…
  • DR Congo launches major Ebola vaccine trial amid outbreak@thepeninsulaqatar · 3 days agoKinshasa: Health authorities in the Democratic Republic of the Congo administered the first vaccine doses on Friday in a major clinical trial aimed at halting the country's largest recorded outbreak of the Bundibugyo Ebola virus strain…
  • Kenya reports second Ebola death as outbreak raises regional concernsThe Business Standard · 3 days agoSaturday October 24, 2026 Kenya recorded its second Ebola-related death on Friday after a 65-year-old woman, a close relative of the country's first confirmed patient, died while in quarantine after developing symptoms, the Health Ministry…
  • Ebola case in Nigeria: 'Who be di pesin wey enta Nigeria wit Ebola?BBC News Pidgin · 4 days agoWetin we call dis Video, 'Who be di pesin wey enta Nigeria wit Ebola? 'Who be di pesin wey enta Nigeria wit Ebola? 'Who be di pesin wey enta Nigeria wit Ebola? Video, 'Who be di pesin wey enta Nigeria wit Ebola?, Duration 1,38 Video, 'We…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions