Fed Decision in October?
94%No change
- No change94%
- 25 bps increase5%
- 50+ bps increase<1%
2 more
- 25 bps decrease<1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
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Will North Dakota crude oil production rise YoY? (2026)
The odds
50%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 54% on Oct 20, 50% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50% | 49¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 35.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: oil prices, crude oil, OPEC
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Fed policy, Q2 earnings, crude oil prices among key market triggers next weekStock market investors will closely track the US Federal Reserve's policy decision Mumbai: Stock market investors will closely track the US Federal Reserve's policy decision, a packed corporate earnings calendar, crude oil price movements… -
FPIs withdraw ₹48,056 cr from equities in October so far amid elevated crude oil pricesPublished - October 25, 2026 01:56 pm IST - New Delhi Foreign investors have withdrawn ₹48,056 crore from Indian equities in October so far, amid elevated crude oil prices, escalating West Asia tensions, concerns over inflation and weak… -
FPI selling stands at Rs 53,337 crore in Oct so far amid elevated crude oil pricesForeign portfolio investors sold Rs 53,337 crore worth of Indian equities in October so far as elevated crude oil prices, market weakness and economic pressures weighed on investor sentiment. FPI selling stands at Rs 53,337 crore in Oct so… -
FPIs withdraw Rs 48,056 cr from equities in Oct so far amid elevated crude oil pricesForeign investors withdrew significant funds from Indian equities in October amid concerns over inflation and crude oil prices. Despite this, there were signs of moderation in selling with two days of net buying. The overall FPI outflows… -
Benchmark indices snap two-week winning streak amid rising crude oil pricesMumbai: Benchmark domestic indices snapped their two-week rising streak dragged by higher crude oil prices due to escalating West Asia conflict. During the holiday-shortened week, the 30-share Sensex at the Bombay Stock Exchange declined 1… -
South Dakota outlasts North Dakota 26-23 in overtimeKenten Laughman kicked a 45-yard field goal in the final minute of regulation to tie the game then kicked a 38-yarder on North Dakota's overtime possession for the Fighting Hawks' first lead. Charles Pierre Jr. rushed for 11 yards on the… -
Crude Oil Prices Near $120 Amid West Asia Tensions, US Fed Rate Decision & Supply Risks In FocusNew Delhi: Global crude oil prices are approaching the USD 120 per barrel mark as escalating tensions in West Asia and the upcoming US Federal Reserve policy decision keep energy markets on edge. Analysts expect another volatile week amid… -
Austyn Modrzewski connects with Brayden White in OT for 26-23 South Dakota win over North DakotaBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. VERMILLION, S.D. —… -
How to watch South Dakota vs North Dakota football today, timeNo. 8 South Dakota has one of the biggest games in Vermillion coming up this week when No. 6 North Dakota comes to town. The Coyotes (6-2) are coming off three consecutive wins, with the most recent being a 48-20 win at Murray State. The… -
Global crude oil prices hit six-month high on Middle East conflict, fears of US strikes on IranSaturday October 24, 2026 Global crude oil prices surged to a six-month high as investor anxieties mounted over potential US military strikes against Iran in the coming weeks alongside escalating regional conflict in the Middle East. Brent… - Austin Brawley's pick-6 helps New Mexico beat North Dakota State 21-16Brawley's pick-6 gave the first-place Lobos (6-1, 3-0 Mountain West Conference) a 21-9 lead early in the fouth quarter. The senior safety had a 65-yard pick-6 in the previous home game — a 61-7 romp over UTEP. New Mexico marched 75 yards…
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Crude oil price forecast as Brent hits $117 amid US-Iran war fearsBuy Brent exposure (e.g., Brent crude futures or an ETF like BNO). The article points to a likely escalation targeting Iran’s oil export lifeline (Kharg Island) plus Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption—classic supply shock drivers…
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All economy ›Fed Decision in December?
76%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase76%▲ 3
- No change20%
- 50+ bps increase3%
2 more
- 25 bps decrease1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Texas crude oil production in 2026
5.76median
5.506
Median 5.76Middle half 5.73 – 5.80
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
0.04median
-0.5020.5
Median 0.04Middle half -0.23 – 0.31
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
73%Hike–Pause–Hike
- Hike–Pause–Hike73%▼ 2
- Hike–Pause–Pause21%
- Hike–Hike–Hike3%
2 more
- Hike–Hike–Pause2%▲ 1
- Other1%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
4.84%median
1.74%8.24%
Median 4.84%Middle half 2.95% – 6.14%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions