Missouri State Senate District 8 winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › State & local Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $868 today · $3.7K traded · $3K at stake · prices read 2 min ago

The odds

51%Jon Patterson
  • Jon Patterson51%▼ 17
  • Keri Ingle49%▲ 14

How the odds have moved

Jon Patterson: 56% on Oct 20, 51% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 24, 9 PM ETJon Patterson: 66% → 51%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 21, 7 PM ETJon Patterson: 59% → 67%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Jon Patterson 51% ▼ 17 48¢ 54¢ $1.85 3.5K
Keri Ingle 49% ▲ 14 47¢ 50¢ $2.00 3.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Missouri State Senate District, Jon Patterson, Keri Ingle

Search ›
  • Newcomers face off for Missouri state Senate District 20 seatKansas City Star · 6 days agoAfter the defeat of incumbent Rep. Curtis Trent in the primary, Missouri Senate District 20 will be represented by a political newcomer in the next legislative session. On Nov. 3, Republican Lori Rook and Democrat Sean Falconer will vie…
  • Heartland Votes Guide for Midterms. What you need to know@kfvsnews · 3 days ago(Heartland News) - Voters head to the polls on November 3 for the general election. To verify and update your voter registration, go to the Missouri Secretary of State website. There, you’ll also be able to find your individual ballot and…
  • Libertarian candidate for Missouri Senate demands fairer media coverageSpringfield Daily Citizen · 3 days agoby Cecil Ince, Springfield How many times have we heard the myths that voting Libertarian is a “wasted vote” or it takes away votes from the Republican or Democrat? Even journalists give Libertarian candidates one line in articles. This…
  • Fact check: What Patterson and Ingle say on school funding formula changes and aidKansas City Star · 5 days agoDuring the next legislative session, lawmakers will consider reworking Missouri’s school funding formula, which determines how much state aid public schools receive. School funding has emerged as a campaign issue in the contest between…
  • Missouri Senate battleground pits Jon Patterson against Keri Ingle in Jackson CountyKCUR · 13 days agoLEE’S SUMMIT — Marching up and down the front steps of split level homes in a Lee’s Summit neighborhood on a recent Monday evening, Democratic state Rep. Keri Ingle was not the first to tell residents about the upcoming election. As her…
  • State House, Senate candidates speak at community forumGasconade County Republican · 10 days agoby Sean Shanks, Staff Writer OWENSVILLE — Candidates for Missouri’s 26th District Senate seat and 61st District House seat took to the stage Oct. 8 at the Showboat Community Theater in Hermann. A crowd of about 50 people gathered for a…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.