Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
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Install
Missouri State Senate District 30 winner? (2026)
The odds
96%Betsy Fogle
- Betsy Fogle96%
- Melanie Stinnett74%▲ 47
How the odds have moved
Betsy Fogle: 80% on Oct 19, 96% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 23, 11 PM ETBetsy Fogle: 50% → 78%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsy Fogle | 96% | 5¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 227 | |
| Melanie Stinnett | 74% | ▲ 47 | 20¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 2.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Missouri State Senate District, Betsy Fogle, Melanie Stinnett
Search ›- Newcomers face off for Missouri state Senate District 20 seatAfter the defeat of incumbent Rep. Curtis Trent in the primary, Missouri Senate District 20 will be represented by a political newcomer in the next legislative session. On Nov. 3, Republican Lori Rook and Democrat Sean Falconer will vie…
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Outgoing Republican Sen. Lincoln Hough signals support for Betsy Fogle, a Democrat, with $2,400 contributionSkip the blur: Unlock a full year of access for just $40, or join our monthly plan for $4! Editor's note: Free access to elections coverage is made possible by the Merrill Lynch Nelson Hallam Group. Outgoing state Sen. Lincoln Hough, a… -
Melanie Stinnett and Betsy Fogle square off in competitive Missouri Senate race in SpringfieldSPRINGFIELD — Melanie Stinnett and Betsy Fogle have more in common than their political affiliations might suggest. Both came to politics after careers helping Missourians navigate a complicated healthcare system. Both have made improving… -
Three candidates compete for Missouri Senate District 30Walker-Pacheco: Representative Fogel, that concludes our interview. Thank you very much for taking time to talk to us. Again, I've been speaking with Representative Betsy Fogel, who is a candidate for Missouri Senate District 30. If you're… -
Check out the Post-Dispatch voters' guide for the Nov. 3 electionThe St. Louis Post-Dispatch and the League of Women Voters of Metro St. Louis have produced a Voters Guide for the November general election in Missouri. The Post-Dispatch and the League of Women Voters of Metro St. Louis present this… - State House, Senate candidates speak at community forumby Sean Shanks, Staff Writer OWENSVILLE — Candidates for Missouri’s 26th District Senate seat and 61st District House seat took to the stage Oct. 8 at the Showboat Community Theater in Hermann. A crowd of about 50 people gathered for a…
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Election 2026: Latest St. Louis and Missouri coverageFollow the latest Post-Dispatch coverage of the Nov. 3 election, including Missouri ballot measures, local and congressional races (12) updates to this series since 17 hrs ago One wants to shrink county government. The other dreams of… - Value public schools? Vote for Betsy Fogle for state Senate | OpinionAttending Hickory Hills Elementary as a kid I saw firsthand what public school teachers do for their students. They made me feel seen and loved, making learning fun and staying a few extra minutes to make sure I understood something before…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.