How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/18-10/24)
6.57median
114
Median 6.57Middle half 6.28 – 6.85
Install
Will any GOP member of Congress call for the 25th Amendment on Trump? (Before Jul 1, 2027)
The odds
27%Before Jul 1, 2027
- Before Jan 1, 202717%▲ 2
- Before Jul 1, 202727%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 17% on Oct 20, 17% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 1% | $100.00 | 4.1K | |||
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 17% | ▲ 2 | 15¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 12.0K |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 27% | ▲ 1 | 23¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 102 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Amendment
Search ›-
Amendment wrongly limits local controlOne of the proposed constitutional amendments on the North Carolina ballot this fall would give the General Assembly control over local property taxes by placing caps on levies. The amendment is supported by state Republicans and the John… -
Virginia amendment supporters lead in fundraisingThe Black Chronicle (The Center Square) – Supporters of three proposed amendments to Virginia’s constitution have reported more than five times as much money as opponents ahead of the Nov. 3 election. Figures from the Virginia Public… -
ALGON adopts constitutional amendments, reviews local...The Association of Local Governments of Nigeria (ALGON) has adopted constitutional amendments and approved its annual budgets at its 2026 General Assembly in Abuja. The assembly, held on Thursday, was presided over by the association’s… -
Draft amendment to CSA criminalises fundamental rightsMedia personalities, legal analysts and civil society representatives demanded the repeal or amendment of repressive clauses in the draft “Cybersecurity Act, 2026”, warning that it seeks to criminalise fundamental rights, free speech and… -
Protection of Human Right (Amendment) Bill, 2019To make the National Human Rights Commission (NHRC) more inclusive and efficient, Lok Sabha passes the Protection of Human Rights (Amendment) Bill, 2019 which amends the Protection of Human Rights Act,1993. Protection of Human Right… -
Wiregrass Voters Face Four Statewide AmendmentsDOTHAN, Ala. (WDNews) — Alabama voters will decide four statewide amendments Nov. 3, including a plan to let neighboring county school systems merge and two measures on school activities. All four appear on official sample ballots for… -
Hydrogel application as a soil amendment to mitigate water deficiency effects on flaxseed cultivars grown in sandy soilsBased on this, the primary aim of the present study is to evaluate the effects of hydrogel application in sandy soil on the growth, biochemical traits, yield, yield components, and seed nutritional quality of flax cultivars under varying… -
Letters: Constant amendments are an inefficient way to governLouisiana officials recently announced a new “I Voted” sticker, designed by New Orleans artist T. Osborne. But to get one, an informed resident must vote. Ten amendments on the ballot? Really? Louisiana’s 1974 constitution has already been… -
Prior 5th Amendment Pleadings Complicate Mylan TestimonyLaw360 Try our Advanced Search for more refined results The Practice of Law Deep News & Analysis Prior 5th Amendment Pleadings Complicate Mylan Testimony Law360 is on it, so you are, too. A Law360 subscription puts you at the center of… -
KEELY MILLS: 3 constitutional amendments on Georgia’s ballotPublished 9:42 am Tuesday, October 20, 2026 By Keely Mills, Georgia Public Policy Foundation While the U.S. Constitution is well known, not everyone realizes that each state has its own constitution, which is the supreme governing law of… -
Column: Restoration of rights amendment deserves ‘No’ voteWith Election Day fast approaching and early voting underway, poll watchers I’ve spoken with report that many voters are still unaware they will encounter three constitutional amendments on their ballot. Although the amendments are often… -
Orange County mayoral candidates weigh in on Amendment 3WKMG Orange County mayoral candidates weigh in on Amendment 3 Voters in Orange County will be electing a new mayor for the first time in eight years. They’ll also be deciding how to vote on the property tax amendment. Oviedo considers…
Related markets
All trump administration ›Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
21%chance▼ 3
Next Press Secretary?
22%Anna Kelly
- Anna Kelly22%▲ 5
- Scott Jennings8%▼ 4
- Kayleigh McEnany5%▲ 1
28 more
- Elizabeth Pipko5%▼ 4
- Maria Bartiromo5%
- Margo Martin5%▲ 1
- Beni Rae Harmony5%
- Natalie Harp4%▲ 1
- Katie Miller3%▼ 3
- Lauren Bis3%
- Laura Loomer3%
- Taylor Rogers2%
- Katie Pavlich2%
- Tricia McLaughlin2%
- Lara Trump2%
- Steven Cheung2%
- Harrison Fields2%▼ 1
- Alina Habba2%▼ 3
- Karoline Leavitt2%
- Liz Huston1%
- Monica Crowley1%▼ 3
- Rachel Campos-Duffy1%
- Hogan Gidley1%
- Kush Desai1%
- Kaelan Dorr1%
- Ari Fleischer1%
- Spencer Pratt1%
- Pat Adams<1%
- Kari Lake<1%▼ 7
- Matthew Boyle<1%
- Jake Paul<1%
Trump out as President before 2027?
4%chance
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/18 - 10/24) (Oct 18, 2026 to Oct 24, 2026)
1.61median
05
Median 1.61Middle half 1.30 – 1.91
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
84%Vladimir Putin
- Vladimir Putin84%
- Mohammed bin Salman72%▲ 5
- Kim Jong Un26%▲ 6
11 more
- Aleksandr Lukashenko13%
- Changpeng Zhao7%
- King Mohammed VI6%
- iShowSpeed5%▲ 2
- MrBeast4%
- Lai Ching-te4%
- Yoon Suk Yeol4%▲ 1
- Nick Fuentes4%
- Nicolás Maduro3%▲ 1
- Pope Leo XIV3%▼ 1
- Jair Bolsonaro2%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.