The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Yes
9%
8¢
10¢
$10.00
10.0K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Between Eric Adams and the congressional delegation, an uneasy peacePOLITICO · 4 days agoThe New York City mayor's hold on the office depends on the support of Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries and his colleagues. 10/23/2024 2:47 PM EDT NEW YORK — Not one member of New York City’s congressional delegation has offered a…
Former chief of staff to ex-NYC Mayor Eric Adams arrested, sources sayAkamai Daily News · 5 days ago(NEW YORK) — Frank Carone, a former chief of staff to ex-New York Mayor Eric Adams, was arrested on Wednesday morning along with his brother Anthony and two others as part of a federal bribery case, sources familiar with the case told ABC…
Why NYC-owned buildings are some of the worst violators of shed programNew York Post · 42 h agoNew York City is the most conspicuous violator of its professed campaign to rid the Big Apple of hundreds of miles of mostly needless sidewalk sheds. An especially monstrous shed has darkened all four sides of century-old 2 Lafayette St…
Eric Adams looms large over criminal bribery trial of former city officialPOLITICO · 8 days agoDefense attorneys for Eric Ulrich sought to portray Adams’ former buildings commissioner as an honest public servant with money problems. Former New York City's Buildings Commissioner Eric Ulrich is escorted into Supreme Court on…
NYC subway mayhem mounts on Kathy Hochul’s watch — and she hopes you won’t noticeNew York Post · 37 h agoDays after yet another stranger-on-stranger subway murder rattled New Yorkers, the governor and the mayor stood together to reassure commuters. “We will do whatever it takes to make our subways safer,” vowed Gov. Kathy Hochul. Oops: Hochul…
NYC Moves to Force Landlords to Give Nonprofits First Shot at BuildingsLifeZette · 3 days agoBy Krystal Stirling October 24, 2026 The New York City Council has approved a revised version of the Community Opportunity for Purchase Act, or COPA, a measure that would require certain property owners to give nonprofit groups and…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
