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Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Clancy | 27% | ▲ 5 | 27¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | $24.7K |
| Erling Haaland | 17% | 17¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | $98.9K | |
| Bad Bunny | 9% | 9¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | $32.8K | |
| Alysa Liu | 5% | 4¢ | 6¢ | $16.95 | $9.1K | |
| Donald Trump | 5% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | $76.1K |
| Nicolás Maduro | 3% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $17.54 | $1.3K | |
| Jude Bellingham | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | $558 | |
| Lionel Messi | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | $4.4K | |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $34.48 | $4.2K | |
| Neymar | 2% | 0¢ | 4¢ | $26.32 | $518 | |
| Patrick Mahomes | 2% | 0¢ | 4¢ | $27.03 | $1.6K | |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $29.41 | $727 | |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | $1.4K | |
| Scarlett Johansson | 2% | 2¢ | 2¢ | $52.63 | $1.3K | |
| Taylor Swift | 1% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $38.46 | $2.5K | |
| Matt Damon | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $41.67 | $1.8K | |
| Christian Pulisic | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $41.67 | $2.1K | |
| Travis Kelce | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $58.82 | $1.3K | |
| Robert Downey Jr. | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | $1.6K | |
| Kylian Mbappé | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $52.63 | $1.4K | |
| LeBron James | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $62.50 | $788 | |
| Shohei Ohtani | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $66.67 | $9.5K | |
| Ja Morant | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $55.56 | $430 | |
| Lamine Yamal | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $71.43 | $2K | |
| Sydney Sweeney | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $66.67 | $2.4K | |
| Kanye West | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $71.43 | $1.9K | |
| Jacob Elordi | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $100.00 | $4.3K | |
| Ariana Grande | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $100.00 | $3.9K | |
| Luka Dončić | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $383 | ||
| Vladimir Putin | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $2.2K | ||
| Zendaya | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $2K | ||
| Elon Musk | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $18K | ||
| Josh Allen | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $1.2K | ||
| Chappell Roan | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $3.1K | ||
| Stefon Diggs | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $1.2K | ||
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1.4K | ||
| Billie Eilish | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1.2K | ||
| Pedro Pascal | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1.2K | ||
| Caitlin Clark | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1.2K | ||
| Joe Burrow | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $2.1K | ||
| Timothée Chalamet | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $885 | ||
| Angel Reese | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1.2K | ||
| Anthony Edwards | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1.3K | ||
| Jake Paul | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1.2K | ||
| JD Vance | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $5.4K | ||
| Scottie Scheffler | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $4.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.