How high will the S&P/BMV IPC Index get in 2026?

Kalshi Finance › Indexes Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $791 today · $3.5K traded · $1.3K at stake · prices read 4 min ago

The odds

$71,506median

$68,000$75,000

Median $71,506Middle half $71,169 – $71,843

How the odds have moved

Median: $72,148 on Oct 20, $71,506 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
At least MX$69,000	98%		75¢		$1.02	1.3K
At least MX$70,000	88%	▼ 2	12¢		$1.14	1.4K
At least MX$71,000	88%	▲ 19	71¢	98¢	$1.02	635
At least MX$72,000	13%	▼ 51		84¢	$1.19	471
At least MX$73,000	13%	▼ 12	2¢	86¢	$1.16	636
At least MX$74,000	13%			25¢	$4.00	1.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: BMV IPC Index

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$772.50high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $772.50 and as low as $757.50.

Reaches $770>99%
Reaches $775<1%

Falls to $765>99%
Falls to $760>99%

Already reached: ↑ $765

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215,400median

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What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

41%↑ $8,000

Traders see as low as 7,298.

Reaches 8,00041%
Reaches 8,20021%

Falls to 7,40066%
Falls to 7,20035%

Already reached: ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400

Finance › Indexes

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

$776.23high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $776.23 and as low as $750.29.

Reaches $770>99%
Reaches $78020%

Falls to $760>99%
Falls to $75049%

Already reached: ↑ $780, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $770

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onTrading View

Trading closesJan 1, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$3.5K (5,817 contracts)

Today$791

This week$767

At stake$1.3K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the value of S&P/BMV IPC Index (ME) is at least MX$69,000 from Jun 23, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.