Texas Governor winner? (2026)
66%Greg Abbott
- Greg Abbott66%▼ 3
- Gina Hinojosa34%▲ 4
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How many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?
The odds
2.26median
-0.505.50
Median 2.26Middle half 1.58 – 3.19
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.23 on Oct 20, 2.26 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 0 | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 6.7K | ||
| Exactly 1 | 22% | 19¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 7.6K | |
| Exactly 2 | 37% | ▼ 1 | 33¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 2.6K |
| Exactly 3 | 23% | ▼ 1 | 19¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 4.7K |
| Exactly 4 | 10% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 3.7K |
| 5 or more | 8% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 5.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Governors
Search ›-
The governors’ races to watchFox News The governors’ races to watch Five states have toss-up races. -
The Governor’s Race That 2028 Democrats Need to WatchNevada Attorney General Aaron Ford is making his biography and labor record central to his bid for governor. Will skeptical rank-and-file voters buy his pitch? Nevada Attorney General and gubernatorial candidate Aaron Ford speaks at a… -
Steve Hilton discusses the CA Governor's raceRepublican candidate for California Governor Steve Hilton discusses his campaign in the final days before the midterm elections. Steve Hilton discusses the CA Governor’s race Republican candidate for California Governor Steve Hilton… -
Lt. Governor Dan Patrick expects Texas Republicans to surpass Democrats in early voting turnoutOctober 25, 2026 / 6:00 AM CDT / CBS Texas Lt. Governor Dan Patrick predicted Republicans in Texas will close the gap with Democrats during early voting sometime next week. In an interview with CBS News Texas on Friday, Patrick said, "The… -
Voices of the voters in the 2026 New York governor's raceCBS News New York is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCBS-TV and channel 2, CBS News New York offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. - The 5:33 |… -
Governor Shapiro calls Vice President Vance 'pathetically weak' for defending Vivek Ramaswamy's ad of Amy Acton's mother.Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro criticizes Vice President Vance and Vivek Ramaswamy, the Republican candidate for governor of Ohio, for doubling down on an ad featuring his opponent's estranged mother. Governor Shapiro calls Vice… -
Hochul campaigns with Mamdani as New York's governor's race enters final stretchOctober 23, 2026 / 6:44 PM EDT / CBS New York Gov. Kathy Hochul is increasingly turning to New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani as she seeks to energize voters in the final weeks of the gubernatorial campaign. Hochul joined Mamdani at a… -
‘People don’t trust her’: Ohio GOP strategist outlines case against Amy Acton for governorFox News Digital spoke to attorney Mehek Cooke about Vivek Ramaswamy’s controversial gubernatorial ad and why she believes Amy Acton’s record disqualifies her from leading. ‘People don’t trust her’: Ohio GOP strategist outlines case… - Cook Political moves Ohio governor’s race after Ramaswamy attack adAmid backlash to GOP gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy’s explosive campaign ad featuring his opponent’s mother, handicappers say the race could be shifting toward Democrat Amy Acton. The influential Cook Political Report, which had…
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Pennsylvania governor expected to sign school cellphone ban into lawCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting… -
Xavier Becerra wants to be the 'health care governor'The former California attorney general split with Gov. Gavin Newsom on cutting Medicaid. Steve Jennings for POLITICO 08/27/2025 7:35 PM EDT SACRAMENTO, California —Xavier Becerra says he’s aiming for universal health care coverage as the… -
Political strategists on how Ramaswamy attack ad could affect Ohio governor's raceBacklash is continuing to grow after Ohio GOP gubernatorial nominee Vivek Ramaswamy's campaign posted an ad featuring his Democratic opponent's estranged mother, with President Trump defending the move and some Republicans condemning it…
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All governors ›California Governor Election Winner
97%Xavier Becerra
- Xavier Becerra97%
- Steve Hilton3%
- Rick Caruso<1%
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- Katie Porter<1%
- Antonio Villaraigosa<1%
- Stephen Cloobeck<1%
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- Kyle Langford<1%
- Chad Bianco<1%
- Eleni Kounalakis<1%
- Daniel Mercuri<1%
- Tony Thurmond<1%
- Michael Younger<1%
- Leo Zacky<1%
- Nicole Shanahan<1%
- Eric Swalwell<1%
- Tom Steyer<1%
- Kamala Harris<1%
- Matt Mahan<1%
- Elaine Culotti<1%
Ohio Governor Election Winner
82%Amy Acton (D)
- Amy Acton (D)82%▼ 1
- Vivek Ramaswamy (R)18%▲ 1
New York Governor winner? (2026)
94%Kathy Hochul
- Kathy Hochul94%▼ 1
- Bruce Blakeman6%▲ 1
California Governor winner? (Person) (2026)
97%Xavier Becerra
- Xavier Becerra97%
- Steve Hilton3%
Massachusetts Governor winner? (2026)
95%Maura Healey
- Maura Healey95%▼ 1
- Mike Minogue5%▲ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions