Lebanese general election winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes May 10, 2028 · $7.9K traded · $1.9K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

66%Election Postponed Beyond Expiration
  • Election Postponed Beyond Expiration66%▼ 1
  • Lebanese Forces11%
  • Amal Movement10%
  • FPM4%
  • Hezbollah4%
  • PSP2%
  • Kataeb2%
  • Tashnag2%
  • Marada Movement2%
  • Independence Movement2%

How the odds have moved

Election Postponed Beyond Expiration: 67% on Oct 20, 66% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Election Postponed Beyond Expiration 66% ▼ 1 66¢ 72¢ $1.39 8.2K
Lebanese Forces 11% 7¢ 17¢ $5.88 12.3K
Amal Movement 10% 6¢ 15¢ $6.67 6.6K
FPM 4% 0¢ 9¢ $10.87 430
Hezbollah 4% 1¢ 7¢ $13.51 1.3K
PSP 2% 0¢ 4¢ $22.73 1.00
Kataeb 2% 0¢ 4¢ $22.73 1.00
Tashnag 2% 0¢ 4¢ $22.73 2.00
Marada Movement 2% 0¢ 4¢ $22.73 1.00
Independence Movement 2% 0¢ 4¢ $22.73 1.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Lebanese, Election Postponed Beyond Expiration, Lebanese Forces

Search ›

Related markets

All around the world ›
Elections › Around the world

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

>99%Student List – Students Win
  • Student List – Students Win>99%▲ 73
  • Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia<1%▼ 74
  • Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%
7 more
  • Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%
  • Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%
  • Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification<1%
  • Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić<1%
  • Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović<1%
  • European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš<1%
  • SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak<1%
Elections › Around the world

Next French Presidential Election

44%Marine Le Pen
  • Marine Le Pen44%
  • Édouard Philippe19%▲ 4
  • David Lisnard14%
42 more
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%▼ 1
  • Raphaël Glucksmann3%
  • François Hollande3%▲ 1
  • Bruno Retailleau1%
  • Éric Zemmour1%
  • Gabriel Attal1%
  • Sarah Knafo1%
  • Jordan Bardella1%
  • Dominique de Villepin1%
  • Christine Lagarde<1%
  • Xavier Bertrand<1%
  • Sébastien Lecornu<1%
  • Marion Maréchal<1%
  • François Ruffin<1%
  • Ségolène Royal<1%
  • François Asselineau<1%
  • Jean Castex<1%
  • Natacha Polony<1%
  • Laurent Wauquiez<1%
  • Marine Tondelier<1%
  • Fabien Roussel<1%
  • Olivier Faure<1%
  • Clémentine Autain<1%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
  • Michel Barnier<1%
  • Valérie Pécresse<1%
  • François Bayrou<1%
  • Élisabeth Borne<1%
  • Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
  • Gérald Darmanin<1%
  • Carole Delga<1%
  • Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
  • Manuel Bompard<1%
  • Mathilde Panot<1%
  • Juan Branco<1%
  • Clémence Guetté<1%
  • Karim Bouamrane<1%
  • Lucie Castets<1%
  • Yannick Jadot<1%
  • François Baroin<1%
  • Anasse Kazib<1%
  • Sylvain Durif<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions