S&P 2027 year end price
8,217median
6,80010,400
Median 8,217Middle half 7,655 – 9,150
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S&P price at year-end? (Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST)
The odds
7,800median
6,8008,600
Median 7,800Middle half 7,406 – 8,052
How the odds have moved
Median: 7,783 on Oct 20, 7,800 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,900 or above | 92% | ▼ 1 | 88¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 2.9K |
| 7,000 or above | 87% | ▼ 1 | 83¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 2.2K |
| 7,100 or above | 83% | ▼ 1 | 79¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 792 |
| 7,200 or above | 83% | ▲ 2 | 76¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 857 |
| 7,300 or above | 78% | ▼ 1 | 74¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 2.6K |
| 7,400 or above | 76% | 74¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | 2.6K | |
| 7,500 or above | 67% | ▼ 1 | 64¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 1.8K |
| 7,600 or above | 60% | ▼ 1 | 57¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 8.2K |
| 7,700 or above | 57% | ▼ 1 | 54¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 4.4K |
| 7,800 or above | 50% | 49¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 8.3K | |
| 7,900 or above | 40% | ▼ 1 | 37¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 5.8K |
| 8,000 or above | 33% | ▼ 1 | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 2.9K |
| 8,100 or above | 18% | 16¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 567 | |
| 8,200 or above | 14% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 1.1K |
| 8,300 or above | 5% | ▼ 4 | 2¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 929 |
| 8,400 or above | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 696 | ||
| 8,500 or above | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 2.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
$777.25high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $777.25 and as low as $751.74.
- Reaches $770>99%
- Reaches $78031%
- Falls to $760>99%
- Falls to $75040%
Already reached: ↑ $780, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $770
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions