Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
$282,917median
$175,000$375,000
Median $282,917Middle half $261,161 – $304,891
Install
Illinois pension debt in 2026?
The odds
$147.04median
$135$175
Median $147.04Middle half $145.19 – $148.89
How the odds have moved
Median: $147.07 on Oct 19, $147.04 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $140 billion | 95% | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 25.00 | |
| Above $145 billion | 78% | ▼ 1 | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 48.00 |
| Above $150 billion | 10% | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 1.3K | |
| Above $155 billion | 5% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 2.1K |
| Above $160 billion | 5% | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.2K | |
| Above $165 billion | 5% | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 1.1K | |
| Above $170 billion | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 5.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Illinois, Fiscal
Search ›-
Trump looms in Illinois Senate debateShia Kapos' must-read rundown of political news in the Land of Lincoln 10/21/2026 08:00 AM EDT Good Wednesday morning, Illinois. Politics in this state has never been for the faint of heart. Republican Don Tracy and Democrat Juliana… -
Basketball Museum of Illinois hosts Leadership Academy for student athletesCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Basketball Museum of… -
Dan Lanning Compliments Bret Bielema Ahead of Oregon-Illinois GameCoach Bret Bielema's 3-3 Illinois Fighting Illini are set to welcome coach Dan Lanning's Oregon Ducks to Champaign, Ill. this Saturday at 3 p.m. ET in one of the weekend's most anticipated Big Ten games. The Fighting Illini are coming off… -
Basketball Museum of Illinois hosts Leadership Academy for Chicago area student athletesOctober 21, 2026 / 5:21 PM CDT / CBS Chicago More than 100 athletes from Chicago area schools gathered under one roof on Wednesday morning for a day not focused on competition, but for a meeting of the minds. The Basketball Museum of… -
Illinois Freshman Quentin Coleman Ranked 8 in Newcomer RankingsQuentin Coleman impressed scouts to close out his high school season, and he is picking up right where he left off. In his first game as an Illini, an exhibition matchup against Cincinnati, Coleman had the ball in his hands frequently and… -
Why Quentin Coleman Could Be Illinois' Most Important Player This SeasonIllinois basketball enters the 2026-27 season with one of the most talented rosters in the country, but its most important player might end up being someone who has yet to play a minute in a regular-season college basketball game. Freshman… -
3 people in police custody after teen is shot in Bellwood, IllinoisCBS News 3 people in police custody after teen is shot in Bellwood, Illinois Fire damages house in McHenry, Illinois Jane Doe says she felt Cornell’s president didn’t believe her sex assault accusations Warmer-than-normal temps continue… -
Star Illinois Football Transfer Expected to Make Debut Against Oregon DucksIllinois football is scheduled to take on coach Dan Lanning's Oregon Ducks this coming Saturday at 3 p.m. ET at Gies Memorial Stadium in Champaign, giving coach Bret Bielema's team a chance at a signature win. The Fighting Illini will be… -
Illinois' Brandon Henderson Speaks on Future With Team Ahead of Oregon GameCoach Bret Bielema's Illinois Fighting Illini are preparing for one of the season's toughest games this coming Saturday at Gies Memorial Stadium in Champaign, Ill. against the 4-2 Oregon Ducks, with the game scheduled for 3 p.m. ET… -
Illinois First Lady MK Pritzker donates $500K to Amy Acton's Ohio governor campaign after Ramaswamy attack adsOctober 21, 2026 / 2:28 PM CDT / CBS Chicago Illinois First Lady MK Pritzker donated $500,000 to Amy Acton's campaign to become Ohio governor in the wake of Republican Vivek Ramaswamy releasing attack ads featuring her estranger mother… - Bradley Braves vs. Illinois State RedbirdsIllinois State Redbirds @ Bradley Braves: Live game updates, stats, play-by-play Yahoo Sports - Conference Top 25 America East American Conference Atlantic 10 Atlantic Coast Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky Big South Big Ten Big West…
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Young QBs step into the spotlight as Illinois hosts OregonChampaign, Ill. – Illinois head coach Bret Bielema is looking for continued improvement from his squad after a much-needed bye week. Illinois (3-3) took down Michigan State in an overtime thriller a week and a half ago and now hosts Oregon…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.