Will Honolulu Charter Question 4 pass? (2026)

Kalshi Politics › States & cities Closes Nov 2, 2027 · $6.5K traded · $3.3K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

81%chance▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Yes: 77% on Oct 20, 81% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 81% ▲ 1 79¢ 82¢ $1.22 8.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Honolulu Charter Question

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  • Should City Boards Allow Non-Citizens And Loosen Quorum Rules?Honolulu Civil Beat · 9 days agoCoverage of Hawaiʻi’s 2026 elections Two Honolulu charter amendments could bring changes to dozens of city boards and commissions. Two proposals on Honolulu ballots are aimed at making it easier for some city boards and commissions to…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions