Will the Onion Futures Act be repealed? (Before Jan 1, 2030)
28%Before Jan 1, 2030
- Before Jan 1, 20274%
- Before Jan 1, 202813%
- Before Jan 1, 202919%▲ 4
1 more
- Before Jan 1, 203028%
Install
Who will be Chair of House Financial Services? (For the 120th Congress)
The odds
77%Maxine Waters
- Maxine Waters77%▼ 1
- Sean Casten5%
- Bill Foster3%
- French Hill3%
- Brad Sherman3%
How the odds have moved
Maxine Waters: 90% on Oct 22, 77% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxine Waters | 77% | ▼ 1 | 74¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 1.5K |
| Sean Casten | 5% | 1¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 1.7K | |
| Bill Foster | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 1.7K | |
| French Hill | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 2.2K | |
| Brad Sherman | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 289 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Chair of House Financial Services, Maxine Waters, Sean Casten
Search ›-
Maxine Waters Is Maxed Out: Why the Congresswoman Should Strongly Consider RetirementBy Eugene H. Wright, Jr. When Maxine Waters famously declared she was ‘reclaiming my time’ while grilling elites on Capitol Hill, most assumed she was just wielding a rule of parliamentary procedure. Few realized she would take that slogan… -
The Sherrod Brown seniority showdownDelivered daily by 8 a.m., Morning Money examines the latest news in finance, politics and policy — and on Fridays, Morning Money: Capital Risk highlights the downstream effects on markets. By JASPER GOODMAN and VICTORIA GUIDA 10/21/2026… -
POLITICO Pro Q&A: Rep. Maxine WatersRep. Maxine Waters (D-Calif.) in her office on Capitol Hill in Washington on Tuesday, Sept. 24, 2024.Angelina Katsanis/POLITICO Rep. Maxine Waters is preparing to roll out a sweeping policy agenda if she retakes the chairship of the House… -
19 Financial Services Democrats back Maxine Waters for top spot on panel - Live Updates - POLITICOAll but three returning Democrats on the panel have signed onto a letter supporting Waters' position as committee's party leader. Nineteen Democrats on the House Financial Services Committee have signed a letter backing Rep Maxine Waters… -
Black Caucus Financial Services members back Maxine Waters as panel's top Democrat - Live Updates - POLITICOWaters’ allies are also discussing other letters of support, including potentially one from a broader group of House Financial Services members. Seven members of the Congressional Black Caucus serving on the House Financial Services… - Democrats back Maxine Waters to lead banking committee.The Greatest News Site On The Internet. Home of CFP Nation. Democrats back Maxine Waters to lead banking committee. Posted by Kane on October 20, 2026 11:33 am
-
Democrats split over House-passed community banking packageRep. Bill Foster and other House Financial Services Committee Democrats broke with panel ranking member Maxine Waters in supporting the community banking package.Alex Brandon/AP The House passed legislation Tuesday aimed at easing… -
The Treasury Home-Buying Ban Locks In the Biggest LandlordsJoin the community built by investors, for investors. Create your free account » Originally published at The Free Markets Report, a free daily on deregulation and markets. Here is the sentence to hold on to. Congress passed a ban meant to… - ELDER: Critic says Trump is 'racist' and 'demeans' black politiciansMany have turned a blind eye to similar allegations against popular Democratic politicians A caller to my radio show rattled off President Donald Trump’s supposed “racist” sins: Trump called African countries “s–thole” countries; he…
-
Election 2026: U.S. Representative 6th Congressional District Candidate Sean CastenDOWNERS GROVE, IL—U.S. Rep. Sean Casten is running for his fifth term in the Illinois Sixth Congressional District on the Democratic ticket. He faces GOP opponent Niki Conforti in a rematch from 2024. You can find Casten's answers to the… - NY Times' Front Page Screams Over 'Far Right' 'Hard Right' 'Ultraconservatives'There was some good old-school New York Times labeling bias on Wednesday’s front page regarding California Rep. Kevin McCarthy’s fight to become House Speaker when the Republican Party takes over control of Congress next month: “McCarthy…
-
Political World Piles on Vanity Fair’s Bombshell Jared Kushner Report: ‘Bananas’Political and media pundits piled on the stunning book excerpt published in Vanity Fair this week, claiming President Donald Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner’s phone was compromised by Russia, a move that allegedly revealed secret bank…
Related markets
All congress ›2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
9.52%median
-100%100%
Median 9.52%Middle half 7.13% – 11.67%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
11%chance▲ 1
How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
17.7median
1327
Median 17.7Middle half 15.7 – 19.6
Will the SAVE Act become law? (Before Jan 4, 2027)
3%chance
Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?
26%December 31
- December 3126%▲ 5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions