Hermès Birkin: Highest auction sale price this year (2026)

Kalshi Culture Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $5 today · $2.1K traded · $1.5K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

$323,077median

$100,000$1.1M

Median $323,077Middle half $226,923 – $450,000

How the odds have moved

Median: $316,667 on Oct 20, $323,077 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Above $150K	86%	▼ 1	81¢	90¢	$1.11	346
Above $200K	79%	▼ 1	74¢	83¢	$1.20	212
Above $250K	72%		68¢	76¢	$1.32	1.6K
Above $300K	55%	▼ 1	53¢	56¢	$1.79	220
Above $400K	35%	▲ 1	31¢	39¢	$2.56	482
Above $500K	15%	▼ 1	13¢	17¢	$5.88	337
Above $600K	12%	▼ 1	8¢	16¢	$6.25	63.00
Above $700K	11%	▼ 1	7¢	15¢	$6.67	22.00
Above $800K	10%	▼ 1	7¢	13¢	$7.69	101
Above $900K	10%		6¢	14¢	$7.14	52.00
Above $1M	9%	▼ 1	5¢	13¢	$7.69	1.0K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Hermès Birkin

Search ›

Olivia Attwood shows off her yellow £21K Hermes Birkin bag as she enjoys a trip to Harrods after adding another lucrative collaboration to her building empireDaily Mail · 2 days agoOlivia Attwood showed off her yellow Hermes Birkin bag as she enjoyed a shopping trip in Harrods. For the occasion, Olivia cut a comfy figure in a charcoal grey tracksuit with a long sleeve white top. She toted her belongings in a Hermes…
Once yielding a 300% return, the Hermès Birkin bag has lost some of its "walking gold" aura.vietnam.vn · 5 days ago(Dan Tri Newspaper) - The influx of Hermès Birkin designer bags into the resale market has caused resale price differences to plummet, shaking the position of an asset that once generated returns exceeding even the stock market. Cai…
End of an era? How the Hermes Birkin bag is losing its scarcity appealThe Standard 英文虎報 · 5 days agoLondon-based Cai Baochun used to make a hefty profit reselling Hermes' famed Birkin bags for more than double their $10,000 retail price. Now he has stopped stockpiling them as second-hand prices fall. “I don’t want to lose money,” said…
FOCUS-End of an era? How the Hermes Birkin bag is losing its scarcity appealDevdiscourse · 5 days agoLondon-based Cai Baochun used to make a ‌hefty profit reselling Hermes' famed Birkin bags for more than double their $10,000 retail price. Now he has stopped stockpiling them as second-hand prices fall. “I don’t want to lose money,” said…
Rob Rausch Reacts to Being a Top Halloween Costume with Lisa Rinna: ‘It’s an Honor’ (Exclusive)People.com · 3 days agoThe ‘Traitors’ winner’s signature denim overalls is proving to be a popular Halloween costume choice, months after he told PEOPLE he owned 25 pairs altogether Rob Rausch thinks imitation is the highest form of flattery! The Traitors star…
Bogus designer handbag dealer swindled me out of my savings – I helped cops hunt him down but lost more than £100kThe Sun · 3 days agoUNLOCKING the pink door of her boutique, Christine Colbert smiled. From the £180-a-roll Christian Lacroix parrot wallpaper to the rails of Chanel and Gucci clothing, the store was the result of years of dedication. Stroking a £35,000…
Latto Sitting Courtside At Dream’s Game Looks ‘Like Donald Trump’The Blast · 5 days agoLatto pulled up courtside for Game 2 of the 2026 WNBA Finals on October 19, and fans had plenty to say about what she wore. The rapper, who welcomed her first child earlier in May, came out to support her friend Angel Reese and the Atlanta…
Cardi B Found Missing Birkin Esmeralda After Studio TipAllHipHop · 7 days agoCardi B shared the studio clue behind her missing Birkin Esmeralda, a day after she feared she had left the purse at a hotel. Mike Winslow • Oct 19, 2026 @ 7:00 PM Cardi B said last week that she found Esmeralda, the Hermès Birkin she…
Luxury Feels The Pinch As Beijing Comes For The Offshore BillionsForbes · 7 days agoThis Thursday, October 22, is a big day for China’s wealthiest families. It’s the deadline Beijing gave them to declare and pay years of back taxes on money held in offshore trusts without a penalty. I’ve said many times that government…
Tradwife influencer Nara Smith takes dig at people who spend their money on Birkin bagsDaily Mail · 7 days agoTradwife influencer Nara Smith appeared to throw some subtle shade at people who spend their money on Birkin bags as she insisted she still lives frugally despite being a millionaire. Smith, 25, shared her stance on money during an…
YK Osiris Shows Off Birkin Bags He Bought for His Future Girlfriend: 'Just For My Baby'Complex · 7 days agoR&B singer YK Osiris has some Hermès Birkin bags collected for his future lady. While revealing the stash to his Instagram followers, the "Worth It" shared who he's saving them for. "Just for my baby," he wrote over an image of three…
Love Or Hate Her '80s Shoe Styles, Jennifer Lopez Always Stays Ahead Of TrendsWomen · 8 days agoWomen.com Love Or Hate Her '80s Shoe Styles, Jennifer Lopez Always Stays Ahead Of Trends Jennifer Lopez has jumped on a pretty bizarre shoe trend, but make no mistake, the "Jenny from the Block" singer is always two steps ahead of the game…

Related markets

All culture ›

Culture › Music

Junior Eurovision Winner 2026

99%Armenia

Armenia99%▲ 56
Albania<1%▼ 1
Azerbaijan<1%▼ 1

15 more

Croatia<1%▼ 2
Cyprus<1%▼ 4
France<1%▼ 13
Georgia<1%▼ 6
Ireland<1%▼ 14
Italy<1%▼ 1
Malta<1%▼ 22
Montenegro<1%▼ 2
Netherlands<1%▼ 2
North Macedonia<1%▼ 9
Poland<1%▼ 7
Portugal<1%▼ 1
San Marino<1%▼ 4
Spain<1%▼ 25
Ukraine<1%▼ 16

Culture › Movies & box office

The Cat in the Hat · Rotten Tomatoes score

71.9median

4095

Median 71.9Middle half 62.5 – 82.5

Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

48%The Odyssey

The Odyssey48%▲ 4
You Can See Everything27%▼ 2
The Black Ball13%

38 more

Dune: Part Three5%▼ 1
Digger1%
Wild Horse Nine1%
Artificial1%
Project Hail Mary<1%
Disclosure Day<1%
Fjord<1%
The Social Reckoning<1%
Michael<1%
The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
Werwulf<1%
Behemoth<1%
Josephine<1%
Sense and Sensibility<1%
I Love Boosters<1%
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
Avengers: Doomsday<1%
The Death of Robin Hood<1%
The Drama<1%
Ink<1%
All of a Sudden<1%
Cry to Heaven<1%
Tie<1%
1949 / Fatherland<1%
Paper Tiger<1%
Hope<1%
Minotaur<1%
Parallel Tales<1%
Jack of Spades<1%
Obsession<1%
The Debut<1%
Elsinore<1%
The Invite<1%
Club Kid<1%
Being Heumann<1%
Primetime<1%
Tender Loving Care<1%

Culture › Music

Bad Bunny Streams in 2026

33.74Bmedian

27.00B35.00B

Median 33.74BMiddle half 31.94B – 34.25B

Culture › Video games

Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date (GTA 6)

99%Before July 2027

Before July 202799%▼ 1
Before January 202899%▼ 1
Before 202797%▲ 1

2 more

Before December 202695%
Before November 20261%

Culture › Movies & box office

The Only Living Pickpocket in New York · Rotten Tomatoes score

95.5median

40101

Median 95.5Middle half 93.6 – 96.5

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onSotheby’s

Trading closesJan 1, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$2.1K (4,483 contracts)

Today$5

At stake$1.5K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If highest auction sale price of any Hermès Birkin bag sold at auction on Sothebys is above $150000 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions