Texas Governor winner? (2026)
67%Greg Abbott
- Greg Abbott67%
- Gina Hinojosa33%▲ 1
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Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?
The odds
82%Florida
- Florida82%▲ 2
- Kansas70%▲ 1
- Texas70%▲ 1
- Georgia48%▲ 1
- Ohio30%▼ 2
- Iowa21%
- New Hampshire16%
- Alaska11%
- Arizona9%
- Wisconsin6%
- Nevada6%
- Minnesota6%
3 more
- Vermont6%
- Michigan6%
- Pennsylvania6%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Florida: 79% on Oct 20, 82% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | 82% | ▲ 2 | 78¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 701 |
| Kansas | 70% | ▲ 1 | 67¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 96.00 |
| Texas | 70% | ▲ 1 | 67¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 854 |
| Georgia | 48% | ▲ 1 | 43¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 175 |
| Ohio | 30% | ▼ 2 | 27¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 1.1K |
| Iowa | 21% | 17¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 758 | |
| New Hampshire | 16% | 12¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 407 | |
| Alaska | 11% | 9¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 1.7K | |
| Arizona | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 41.00 | |
| Wisconsin | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 647 | |
| Nevada | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 55.00 | |
| Minnesota | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 25.00 | |
| Vermont | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 75.00 | |
| Michigan | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 73.00 | |
| Pennsylvania | 6% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 262 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Republicans
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Republicans skeptical of polling data ahead of midtermsHouse Majority Leader Steve Scalise discusses the fight for the House majority. Scalise encourages people to 'show up and vote' in order for GOP to hold the House. Republicans skeptical of polling data ahead of midterms House Majority… -
Trump rallies Republicans in Georgia ahead of midtermsFox News' Madison Scarpino reports from Perry, Georgia, where Trump rallies supporters for Republican candidates. Trump rallies Republicans in Georgia ahead of midterms Fox News' Madison Scarpino reports from Perry, Georgia, where Trump… -
The educational divide could spell trouble for RepublicansRepublicans tend to run better among voters without a college degree than those with one, which has battered Democrats in recent presidential elections. But that same pattern could give Democrats a potentially decisive boost in next… -
Blanche defends DOJ lawsuit blocking Alaska Senate results if Republican losesPresident Donald Trump walks past Attorney General Todd Blanche after speaking at a roundtable event in the East Room of the White House, Wednesday, Oct. 21, 2026, in Washington. Alex Brandon/AP hide caption U.S. Attorney General Todd… -
The momentum is with Republicans ahead of midterms, NRCC chairman saysFox News The momentum is with Republicans ahead of midterms, NRCC chairman says NRCC chairman Rep. Richard Hudson, R-N.C., discusses how redistricting is impacting the midterms and previews GOP strategy on ‘The Big Weekend Show.’ -
Senate Republicans lambaste potential coronavirus dealThe pushback from GOP senators shows just how difficult it will be to approve a new bill. 10/10/2020 1:25 PM EDT Senate Republicans lashed out at a potential framework for a new coronavirus deal between the Trump administration and Speaker… -
Republicans will close the early voting gap, Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick predictsCBS News Sunday Morning CBS News Bay Area Evening Edition 11pm WBZ This Morning 8am CBS News Chicago Sunday7am CBS Colorado Mornings Weekend CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 11pm WCCO News Sunday Morning 7am CBS News New York Sunday 8am KDKA… -
Democrats, Republicans dealing with major midterm headwinds, WSJ associate editor saysWall Street Journal associate editor John Bussey breaks down what we can learn from early voting trends on ‘Fox Report.’ ... Democrats, Republicans dealing with major midterm headwinds, WSJ associate editor says Wall Street Journal… -
The closing economic pitch Republicans are too scared to makeWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
The Kentucky Canary in the Coal Mine for RepublicansOct 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT When you think of Kentucky, you probably think of horse racing and bourbon. On election night, the state’s 6th Congressional District will be one of the first competitive House races out of the gate, and the… -
What Democrats and Republicans fear most about each other: CNBC survey has the answersIf Democrats take over Congress, Republican voters are worried they'll move too far to the left and enact socialist policies. If Republicans keep control, Democrats fret about President Donald Trump having unchecked power. "That totally… -
Lt. Governor Dan Patrick expects Texas Republicans to surpass Democrats in early voting turnoutOctober 25, 2026 / 6:00 AM CDT / CBS Texas Lt. Governor Dan Patrick predicted Republicans in Texas will close the gap with Democrats during early voting sometime next week. In an interview with CBS News Texas on Friday, Patrick said, "The…
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All governors ›Ohio Governor Election Winner
82%Amy Acton (D)
- Amy Acton (D)82%▼ 1
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New York Governor winner? (2026)
94%Kathy Hochul
- Kathy Hochul94%▼ 1
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California Governor winner? (Person) (2026)
97%Xavier Becerra
- Xavier Becerra97%
- Steve Hilton3%
California Governor Election Winner
97%Xavier Becerra
- Xavier Becerra97%
- Steve Hilton3%
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Nevada Governor Election Winner
67%Aaron Ford (D)
- Aaron Ford (D)67%▼ 1
- Joe Lombardo (R)32%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions