Google market share this week (Google market share - Oct 19, 2026)
19.95%median
15.2%22.8%
Median 19.95%Middle half 19.86% – 20.04%
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Google share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)
Settled 11.5%A day before, traders had a median of 12.06%
The last odds before it closed
—
- ✓ Above 11.1%99%▲ 30
- Above 12.0%1%
- Above 12.4%1%▼ 31
- Above 12.6%1%
- Above 13.1%2%▼ 13
- Above 13.4%1%
- Above 14.8%1%▼ 4
- Above 16.1%1%▼ 3
- Above 16.9%1%▼ 3
How the odds have moved
Above 11.1%: 83% on Oct 19, 99% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 8 AM ETAbove 11.1%: 78% → 67%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Above 11.1% | 99% | 7.3K | ||||
| ✗ Above 12.0% | 1% | 4.5K | ||||
| ✗ Above 12.4% | 1% | 3.7K | ||||
| ✗ Above 12.6% | 1% | 1.2K | ||||
| ✗ Above 13.1% | 2% | 1.3K | ||||
| ✗ Above 13.4% | 1% | 1.9K | ||||
| ✗ Above 14.8% | 1% | 1.2K | ||||
| ✗ Above 16.1% | 1% | 1.0K | ||||
| ✗ Above 16.9% | 1% | 1.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Google, Vercel
Search ›-
Google Quietly Updates Privacy Policy to Let Gmail and Photos Data Feed AdsA policy change effective Oct. 16 carves out an exception to Google’s long-standing pledge—letting connected Gmail, Drive, and Photos data personalize ads through its Personal Intelligence AI features. - The exception hinges on Personal… -
Why McDonalds, Microsoft and Google saying no to tokenized stocks isn't a dealbreakerThis is an excerpt from CoinDesk's new ‘Tokenization Weekly’ newsletter that will be launching soon. Sign-up details will be here when it goes live. The SEC's new framework for tokenized stock trading looked, at first glance, roughly a… -
Vercel wants static credentials gone. Its own GitHub Actions deploy still needs oneCount the long-lived tokens your deploy job can read right now. One is plenty, and a recent npm worm that scraped tokens straight out of CI pipelines made that point the expensive way. Vercel has now told its Marketplace vendors to get rid… -
Vercel Ship 2026: agents can keep their files between runs nowTL;DR: Vercel Ship 2026 was mostly agent launches. The one I'd look at first is Drives, which lets an agent in Vercel Sandbox keep its files between runs. We haven't used any of it yet, so this is what Vercel announced plus Vercel's own… -
Build a Free AI Support Chatbot with FastAPI, Groq, and Vercel (Complete Guide)If you've wanted to add an AI chatbot to a website but assumed it needs a paid OpenAI account, a vector database cluster, and a weekend of DevOps — this guide is for you. We'll build a customer support chatbot that answers questions only… -
Google Mobile Phone AccessoriesWhat do you love (and hate) about your smartphone and your mobile provider? Rate them for a chance to win a $250 Amazon gift card. The Pixel Tag pairs UWB and Bluetooth Channel Sounding to precisely pinpoint your lost items. If your car… -
Rogan warns that Google searches can influence electionsPodcaster Joe Rogan warned that curated search results from websites like Google have massive power to swing elections among undecided voters. Rogan warns that Google searches can influence elections Podcaster Joe Rogan warned that curated… -
How to Master Google Password ManagerWe write about password managers a lot and for good reason. Anyone who uses the internet—whether from a PC, a phone, a tablet, or a combination of devices—needs one to track passwords, generate new secure ones, and make sure they don't… -
Design Your Own Google Nexus Phone CaseThe new program lets Nexus 5X, Nexus 6, and Nexus 6P owners customize their phone case—with a twist. Want to jazz up your Nexus device? Google's new Live Case program lets Nexus 5X, Nexus 6, and Nexus 6P owners customize their phone… -
Report: Google Developing AirTag-Like Smart TrackerCodenamed 'Grogu,' the device is reportedly in development by the Nest team. Google appears to be working on an Apple AirTag-esque smart tracker, currently codenamed after breakout Mandalorian star, Grogu. Developer Kuba Wojciechowski… -
Google creative status codes for consent, vendors, and SDKs.Google creative statuses 14, 189 through 193, and 200 through 203 cover sensitive categories, SDK ids, OMSDK, COPPA, and GDPR vendor consent. Tagged with openrtb, adtech, api, debugging. These Google creative status codes fire after the… -
Save up to $200 on Google Chromebooks — discover what's possible when you bring the power of Google AI to your ChromebookTom's Hardware Approved - Sponsored Offer Lighter on your backpack and wallet With a 0.78-inch profile and a 2.99-pound weight, the IdeaPad Slim 3 Chromebook is a portable device you can carry with you. The 14-inch IPS display with WUXGA…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.