Footwear Retail Ad Spend in October (October 2026)

Kalshi Finance Closes Nov 5 · $861 today · $29.1K traded · $11K at stake · prices read 6 min ago

The odds

108.6median

50145

Median 108.6Middle half 104.9 – 113.3

How the odds have moved

Median: 77.9 on Oct 20, 108.6 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Above 65	99%		98¢	99¢	$1.01	4.0K
Above 80	99%		98¢	99¢	$1.01	11.9K
Above 100	97%	▲ 2	96¢	97¢	$1.03	7.1K
Above 105	75%	▼ 1	72¢	77¢	$1.30	4.3K
Above 110	40%	▼ 2	38¢	42¢	$2.38	3.7K
Above 115	17%	▲ 2	18¢	35¢	$2.86	11.3K
Above 130	2%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	195

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Footwear Retail Ad Spend

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Finance › Commodities

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

$105.53high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $105.53.

Reaches $100>99%
Reaches $10555%

Falls to $9519%
Falls to $906%

Already reached: ↑ $90, ↑ $95, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↑ $90

Finance › IPOs & deals

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 24, 2026even chance by

October 31, 2026<1%
November 15, 20262%▼ 4
November 30, 202690%▲ 30

2 more

December 15, 202691%▲ 10
December 31, 202694%▲ 12

Finance › IPOs & deals

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

30%$1.75–$2.0T

$1.75–$2.0T30%▲ 3
$2.0–$2.25T24%
$1.5–$1.75T17%▲ 1

7 more

$2.25–$2.5T11%▲ 1
$1.25–$1.5T7%▲ 2
$2.5–$2.75T3%▲ 1
<$1.25T2%▼ 3
$3.0T+2%
No IPO by December 31, 20272%▼ 2
$2.75–$3.0T2%▲ 1

Finance › IPOs & deals

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

99%$ANT

$ANT99%▲ 49
$ANTH1%▼ 24
$AAI<1%▼ 8

6 more

$ANAI<1%▼ 3
$APBC<1%▼ 4
$ARPC<1%▼ 1
$CLAU<1%
$CLD<1%▼ 1
$CLDE<1%▼ 4

Finance › Companies

Largest Company end of October 2026?

90%NVIDIA

NVIDIA90%▲ 21
Apple9%▼ 20
Alphabet<1%

6 more

Tesla<1%
Saudi Aramco<1%
Broadcom<1%
Microsoft<1%
Amazon<1%
SpaceX<1%

Finance › IPOs & deals

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

87%November 2026

November 202687%▲ 25
December 20267%▼ 17
January 20273%▼ 4

13 more

April 20271%▼ 2
March 20271%▼ 3
May 20271%▼ 1
October 20261%▼ 1
February 20271%▼ 1
June 2027<1%
No IPO before 2028<1%▼ 1
July 2027<1%
August 2027<1%
September 2027<1%
October 2027<1%
November 2027<1%
December 2027<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onCarbon Arc

Trading closesNov 5, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$29.1K (42,430 contracts)

Today$861

This week$21.2K

At stake$11K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the Carbon Arc Footwear Retail Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 65, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions