The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
250 or more
98%
97¢
99¢
$1.01
3.6K
500 or more
71%
66¢
75¢
$1.33
530
750 or more
21%
18¢
24¢
$4.17
572
1k or more
6%
3¢
9¢
$11.11
943
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Nature: Spiders in FloridaCBS News · 9 h agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Nature: Spiders in…
11 people shot near Florida university stadiumCNN · 18 h agoA shooting near a college stadium in Tallahassee, Florida, left 11 with gunshot wounds Saturday night, officials said. Among the victims were six juveniles including an 11-year-old, Tallahassee Police Chief Lawrence Revell told reporters…
Trump casts his midterm ballot early in FloridaNBC News · 6 h agoWEST PALM BEACH, Fla. — President Donald Trump cast his ballot in the midterm elections Saturday, saying he voted for all Republicans in Florida before speaking at a Georgia rally. Trump and first lady Melania Trump arrived at their West…
Mass Shooting Near Florida University Leaves 11 WoundedNewsweek · 11 h agoOct 25, 2026 at 04:46 AM EDT Eleven people were injured in a shooting near Florida A&M University's Bragg Memorial Stadium on Saturday, police said. Tallahassee Police Chief Lawrence Revell said the victims included six juveniles, one of…
South Florida bracing for major flooding through TuesdayCBS News · 10 h agoOctober 25, 2026 / 10:10 AM EDT / CBS Miami A coastal flood warning is now in effect for South Florida's east coast, with major flooding expected around high tides, along with additional flooding from showers and storms that will continue…
Orthodox Jews flee NY for Florida amid rising antisemitismNew York Post · 12 h agoMore than 100 Orthodox Jewish families, fed up with rising antisemitism and political dysfunction in New York, are planning to join the 60 who already fled the state for a new community in Florida — only for far-right influencers to…
Eleven sustain gunshot wounds in shooting near Florida universitythe Guardian · 18 h agoPolice said an altercation at a homecoming party escalated into gunfire, resulting in six adults and six juveniles injured A shooting near a Florida university campus in Tallahassee has left 11 people with gunshot wounds and another…
Be mindful of king tide, flooding impacts in South FloridaCBS News · 10 h agoCBS News Miami is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WFOR-TV and channel 4, CBS News Miami offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Be mindful of king tide…
Mount Shasta rescue: Florida climber saved after fallThe Weather Channel · 30 h agoThe Weather Channel Florida climber rescued from Mount Shasta in multiday mission A 39-year-old Florida man was rescued from a glacier on California’s Mount Shasta after a multiday mission involving more than 30 people. He fell through a…
Games to Watch with the Florida Gators on a ByeFlorida Gators On SI · 32 h agoThe Florida Gators get a much-needed break this week, having a bye ahead of next week's matchup against Georgia in Atlanta. While the 20th-ranked Gators (5-2, 3-2 SEC) are not playing this week, there are still plenty of relevant matchups…
Trump casts his midterm election ballot early in FloridaCNBC · 26 h agoPresident Donald Trump cast his ballot in the midterm elections Saturday, saying he voted for all Republicans in Florida before speaking at a Georgia rally. Trump and first lady Melania Trump arrived together at their West Palm Beach…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
