Will the FCC pull a Big Four TV station license? (Before Apr 1, 2027)

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Mar 31, 2027 · $39 today · $2.6K traded · $535 at stake · prices read 50 min ago

The odds

19%Before Apr 1, 2027
  • Before Jan 1, 20278%▲ 3
  • Before Apr 1, 202719%▼ 5

How the odds have moved

Before Jan 1, 2027: 5% on Oct 20, 8% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2027 8% ▲ 3 4¢ 11¢ $9.09 15.4K
Before Apr 1, 2027 19% ▼ 5 17¢ 21¢ $4.76 7.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Big Four TV

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?

>99%Transgender 5+ times
  • Transgender 5+ times>99%▲ 22
  • SI / Super Intelligence>99%▲ 33
  • Star>99%▲ 59
19 more
  • Gay / Palestine>99%▲ 79
  • Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times>99%▲ 13
  • Regulation / Regulatory100%▲ 72
  • Ass1%▼ 64
  • Bull / Bullshit1%▼ 40
  • Fertilizer / Rural1%▼ 47
  • Animal1%▼ 62
  • Drag Show1%▼ 64
  • Maduro1%▼ 26
  • Data Center / Electric / Electricity1%▼ 38
  • Russia / Ukraine1%▼ 72
  • Hormuz / Blockade1%▼ 58
  • Fentanyl / Deport / Deported1%▼ 32
  • America First / Gulf of America1%▼ 62
  • Hell 15+ times<1%▼ 54
  • Tax 33+ times<1%▼ 45
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence<1%▼ 45
  • Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency<1%▼ 2
  • -No Qualifying Event-<1%▼ 3

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

85%Vladimir Putin
  • Vladimir Putin85%▼ 1
  • Mohammed bin Salman75%▼ 2
  • Kim Jong Un14%▼ 14
11 more
  • Changpeng Zhao11%
  • Aleksandr Lukashenko10%▼ 2
  • King Mohammed VI6%▼ 2
  • iShowSpeed5%▲ 1
  • Lai Ching-te5%▲ 1
  • MrBeast5%
  • Pope Leo XIV4%▼ 1
  • Nick Fuentes4%▲ 1
  • Yoon Suk Yeol3%
  • Jair Bolsonaro2%▼ 1
  • Nicolás Maduro2%

Next Press Secretary?

16%Anna Kelly
  • Anna Kelly16%▲ 1
  • Scott Jennings14%
  • Elizabeth Pipko6%▲ 1
28 more
  • Maria Bartiromo5%
  • Alina Habba5%
  • Beni Rae Harmony4%▲ 1
  • Kari Lake4%▲ 1
  • Margo Martin3%▲ 1
  • Harrison Fields3%▼ 1
  • Kayleigh McEnany3%
  • Lauren Bis3%▲ 1
  • Laura Loomer3%▲ 2
  • Natalie Harp3%
  • Taylor Rogers3%▲ 1
  • Steven Cheung3%▼ 4
  • Tricia McLaughlin2%▼ 1
  • Lara Trump2%▲ 1
  • Monica Crowley2%▲ 2
  • Katie Pavlich2%
  • Karoline Leavitt2%
  • Liz Huston2%▲ 1
  • Katie Miller1%
  • Rachel Campos-Duffy1%
  • Hogan Gidley1%
  • Kush Desai1%
  • Pat Adams1%
  • Kaelan Dorr1%
  • Ari Fleischer1%
  • Spencer Pratt1%
  • Matthew Boyle1%
  • Jake Paul<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.