Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
27%↓ 6.50%
- Reaches 7.5%74%
- Falls to 6.5%27%
- Falls to 6.25%17%
Already reached: ↑ 7.25%, ↑ 7.00%, ↑ 6.75%, ↑ 6.50%, ↑ 6.30%, ↑ 6.20%
Install
US existing home · Median sales price in October (October 2026)
The odds
$415,278median
$390,000$440,000
Median $415,278Middle half $411,667 – $431,379
How the odds have moved
Median: $415,278 on Oct 20, $415,278 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $395,000 | 98% | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.7K | |
| Above $400,000 | 97% | 80¢ | $1.03 | 2.8K | ||
| Above $405,000 | 97% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 400 | |
| Above $410,000 | 87% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 347 | |
| Above $415,000 | 51% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 5.00 | |
| Above $420,000 | 33% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 35.00 | |
| Above $425,000 | 33% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 21.00 | |
| Above $430,000 | 33% | 1¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 1.4K | |
| Above $435,000 | 4% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Median
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4. Median of Two Sorted ArraysGiven two sorted arrays nums1 and nums2 of size m and n respectively, return the median of the two sorted arrays. The overall run time complexity should be O(log (m+n)). To solve this problem, we can follow these steps: Let's implement… -
2 killed after car flips over median on I-280Two people were killed Thursday night in a five-car collision on southbound Interstate 280 near the Foothill Expressway exit in Los Altos, according to the California Highway Patrol. The collision was reported at around 5:10 p.m. and all… -
Two killed after van strikes median worker and collides with HMDA water tanker on Hyderabad’s ORR near KollurUpdated - October 25, 2026 08:16 pm IST - HYDERABAD Two persons were killed in a road accident on the Outer Ring Road near Kollur Exit 2 on Sunday afternoon when a cold-storage van allegedly hit a worker watering plants along the median… -
2 killed after car flips over I-280 median in Los Altos HillsTwo people were killed Thursday night in a five-car collision on southbound Interstate 280 near the Foothill Expressway exit in Los Altos Hills, according to the California Highway Patrol. The collision was reported at around 5:10 p.m… -
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Housing Fact Book: It now takes $459,600 a year to afford a median-priced house in NewportA household needs an income of $459,600 to affordably buy a median-priced single-family home in Newport, where that price reached $1,510,000 last year, according to the 2026 Housing Fact Book released Friday by HousingWorks RI at Roger… -
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2 dead after Lexus flies over median into I-280 traffic in Los Altos, CHP saysA crash occurred on Thursday night in Los Altos, CHP said. Two people were killed on Thursday evening in Los Altos after a Lexus crossed the Interstate 280 median and slammed into oncoming traffic, triggering a five-car crash, officials… -
BathGems Publishes 2026 Bathroom Remodel Statistics: Median Spend Rebounds to $15,000Denver, CO - October 23, 2026. BathGems, an online bathroom vanity retailer, today published a free reference page compiling more than 120 verified bathroom remodeling statistics for 2026, with every figure linked to its primary source and… -
Zentalis Pharmaceuticals Announces Meaningful Median Overall Survival Data in Cyclin E1-Positive Platinum-Resistant Ovarian Cancer from DENALI Part 1b to be Presented at the ESMO Congress 2026Objective Response Rate (ORR) and Duration of Response (DOR): The updated ORR includes a patient with a confirmed response after the prior cutoff. The current median DOR of 5.5 months reflects a more mature dataset with less censoring than…
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Toronto condo price below C$600K in 2026?
9%chance▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions