Bank of Brazil decision in November?
64%No Change
- No Change64%▲ 47
- 25 bps decrease25%▼ 55
- 25 bps increase3%▲ 3
2 more
- 50+ bps increase2%▲ 1
- 50+ bps decrease1%▲ 1
Install
Sweden rate decision in November (Nov 4, 2026 meeting)
The odds
65%Hike 1-25bps
- Hike 1-25bps65%▲ 4
- Maintain current rate33%▼ 5
- Cut more than 25bps1%
- Cut 1-25bps1%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
How the odds have moved
Hike 1-25bps: 51% on Oct 20, 65% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hike 1-25bps | 65% | ▲ 4 | 64¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 11.5K |
| Maintain current rate | 33% | ▼ 5 | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 757 |
| Cut more than 25bps | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 7.0K | ||
| Cut 1-25bps | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 14.3K | ||
| Hike more than 25bps | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Sweden
Search ›-
Ancient Swedish lake sediments offer new clues to 13,000-year-old cold snapA new analysis of sediments from a lake in southern Sweden has helped researchers separate two events that occurred around the start of a major cold period nearly 13,000 years ago. The study found evidence of a volcanic eruption and a… -
Swedish AI browser Strawberry takes on US AI heavy hitters as comes out of betaA Swedish startup backed by General Catalyst and Lovable and Hugging Face founders is today bringing its AI browser with baked in AI assistants out of beta as it positions itself as an enterprise alternative to ChatGPT and Claude. The AI… - Why Sweden Is Blocking ChatGPT And Claude On Govt Computers While Allowing CopilotThe main reason behind the decision is data security. Sweden has blocked two US-based popular AI chatbots -- ChatGPT and Claude -- on government office computers over concerns about information security. Government employees will now have…
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Sweden's Government Offices Block ChatGPT and Claude, Keep Microsoft CopilotSweden's Government Offices—the administrative body supporting the prime minister and cabinet—will block ChatGPT and Claude on staff computers from Monday, directing civil servants to Microsoft's Copilot as the only approved AI tool… -
Third 6th-Gen Fighter Program Bubbles in Europe After GCAP & French Initiative as Germany Explores Spain-Sweden DealAs Germany seeks a new partner to develop its next-generation fighter after the collapse of FCAS, it now faces two choices: join the Global Combat Air Program (GCAP) or forge a new partnership with Sweden and Spain. If the proposal… -
Sweden: Government Favors Copilot, Blocks ChatGPT and ClaudeWin a 13-inch MacBook Air with OKX! The Swedish government offices cut access to ChatGPT and Claude on their staff computers from Monday, October 26. Only Microsoft Copilot remains authorized, after a security review. Except that Copilot… -
Sweden Blocks ChatGPT and Claude for Government Staff, Keeps Microsoft CopilotSweden’s Government Offices will block ChatGPT and Claude on staff computers starting Monday, Oct. 26. Microsoft will remain the only approved AI provider through its Copilot tool. BREAKING: Sweden’s government to block ChatGPT and Claude… -
Sweden Politics Explained, Who Holds Power in 2026Sweden’s 2026 parliamentary election produced a narrow centre-left majority, with the centre-left bloc holding 176 of 349 seats in the Riksdag, the national legislature. Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s government resigned after the… -
Musk won his battle with Swedish union but it is still business as usualOne of my bugbears about journalists – myself included – is that we tend to pile into stories when they first develop, explain why they matter, then forget about them and move on to the next new thing. But there is value in paying… -
Sweden banned ChatGPT and Claude for staff, leaving Microsoft Copilot as the only approved AIAs seen on the 24/7 Wall St. homepage on October 25, 2026. Enterprise compliance is deciding who wins government AI seats, and Microsoft is the default beneficiary in Sweden. Watch whether other EU states copy the single-vendor approach… -
Swedish Horses Selected for 2016 World Young Horse ChampionshipsThe Swedish equestrian federation has announced the horse-and-rider combinations that will represent Sweden at the 2016 World Championships for Young Dressage Horses in Ermelo, The Netherlands, on 29 - 31 July 2016. Sweden will be sending… -
Swedish Horses Selected for 2025 World Young Horse ChampionshipsThe Swedish warmblood society and Swedish Equestrian Federation have announced the names of the horses that will represent Sweden at the 2025 World Championships for Young Dressage Horses. The 2025 edition of the WCYH will return to Verden…
Related markets
All central banks ›Bank of Brazil decision in December?
52%No Change
- No Change52%▲ 28
- 25 bps decrease23%▼ 36
- 50+ bps increase11%▲ 10
2 more
- 50+ bps decrease3%▼ 14
- 25 bps increase2%
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
88%No change
- No change88%▲ 14
- 25 bps decrease12%▼ 15
- 25 bps increase<1%
2 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
- 50+ bps increase<1%
Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
5median
57
Median 5Middle half 5 – 6
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
81%Hike 25bps
- Hike 25bps81%
- Maintains rate18%▲ 1
- Hike >25bps1%
2 more
- Cut >25bps<1%
- Cut 25bps<1%
Central Bank of Colombia decision in December
70%No change
- No change70%▼ 5
- 25 bps increase18%▲ 7
- 50+ bps increase6%▼ 3
2 more
- 50+ bps decrease4%▼ 2
- 25 bps decrease2%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions