Bank of Brazil decision in November?
67%No Change
- No Change67%▲ 51
- 25 bps decrease21%▼ 61
- 25 bps increase6%▲ 5
2 more
- 50+ bps increase2%▲ 1
- 50+ bps decrease2%▲ 1
Install
Poland rate decision in November (Nov 4, 2026 meeting)
The odds
77%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate77%
- Hike 1-25bps18%
- Cut 1-25bps1%
- Hike more than 25bps1%▲ 1
- Cut more than 25bps1%
How the odds have moved
Maintain current rate: 78% on Oct 20, 77% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | 77% | 75¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | 6.1K | |
| Hike 1-25bps | 18% | 14¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 2.6K | |
| Cut 1-25bps | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.1K | ||
| Hike more than 25bps | 1% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | $50.00 | 4.9K | |
| Cut more than 25bps | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 2.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Poland
Search ›-
UK-Poland Security & Defence Partnership TreatyWollongong-based online news outlet covering Australia and beyond. If you have anything newsworthy - a story, video or picture to share with us, please email us. - UK, Poland Unite on Security, Defence ProjectsProjects agreed between the UK and Poland on the basis of the Treaty signed by the 2 countries on 27 May 2026. Building on a strong bilateral partnership in air defence and high-tech weapons, the UK and Poland will become joint European…
-
Polsat commissions Banijay format SAS: Who Dares Wins for PolandSAS: Who Dares Wins, known locally as Siły Specjalne Polska Polish network Polsat has commissioned a local version of Banijay format SAS: Who Dares Wins. Known locally as Siły Specjalne Polska, the Polish version will be produced by… -
India, Poland Building Strong Friendship on Trust and Shared Values: PM TuskPolish Prime Minister Donald Tusk emphasized that India and Poland share 'no conflict of interest' and are strengthening their ... - Latest News. Find Breaking Headlines, Current and Latest national news at Lokmattimes.com Polish Prime… -
Vietnam, Poland boost friendship, expand cooperationOver the past 76 years, Vietnam and Poland have cultivated a robust and enduring friendship. As both countries seek new drivers for growth, the current objective is to build upon this traditional foundation while broadening cooperation in… -
Does Poland allow border guards to shoot at migrants? Here's what the law saysIn August 2024, Poland's then-President Andrzej Duda signed amendments to legislation expanding when border security guards could use firearms during attacks on the state border. The bill also introduced a limited exclusion from criminal… -
NATO FLF Battle Group-Poland celebrates Romanian Armed Forces Day with sports competitionBEMOWO PISKIE, Poland — Romanian forces serving with NATO’s Forward Land Forces (FLF) Battle Group-Poland celebrated Romania’s Armed Forces Day alongside U.S., Croatian and British soldiers at the Bemowo Piskie Training Area on Oct. 25… -
Buy in Poland, sell in France: a 110% margin that nets €4.61A four-market Vinted scan reported a 110.1% spread on one sneaker query. After five costs it was 9.2% — below the threshold I would act on, and one return eats two winners. Here is the arithmetic, the dataset, and the traps. Disclosure: I… -
India, Poland have no conflict of interest, building friendship on trust, shared values: Polish PM TuskHome » India » India, Poland have no conflict of interest, building friendship on trust, shared values: Polish PM Tusk On: Thursday, October 22, 2026 2:07 PM New Delhi, Oct 22 (IANS) Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk on Thursday said that… -
Greenvolt’s Double BESS Deal Reveals Poland’s Battery SurgeGreenvolt Group has agreed to sell 400MW of operational battery energy storage capacity in Poland to A&R Investments, in a transaction highlighting investor interest in large-scale storage infrastructure and the commercial opportunities… -
OpenAI and Poland NASK collaborate on AI safety researchOpenAI said on Friday it would collaborate with Poland’s NASK National Research Institute on AI safety, security and technical research, as rising incidents of rogue behaviour by AI agents put AI safety in the spotlight. OpenAI and Poland… -
POLAND TAKES FIRST ROUND MATCHUP WITH INDIANSPoland scored more runs than Girard, takes victory on Monday to the tune of 5-1. In the first inning, Girard got their offense started when Drew Delgarbino singled on a 2-2 count, scoring one run. In the bottom of the first inning, Poland…
Related markets
All central banks ›Bank of Brazil decision in December?
52%No Change
- No Change52%▲ 29
- 25 bps decrease19%▼ 40
- 50+ bps increase12%▲ 11
2 more
- 50+ bps decrease3%▼ 14
- 25 bps increase3%▲ 1
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
87%No change
- No change87%▲ 14
- 25 bps decrease13%▼ 13
- 25 bps increase<1%
2 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
- 50+ bps increase<1%
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
81%Hike 25bps
- Hike 25bps81%▲ 2
- Maintains rate17%
- Hike >25bps1%
2 more
- Cut >25bps1%
- Cut 25bps1%
Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
5median
57
Median 5Middle half 5 – 6
Central Bank of Colombia decision in December
70%No change
- No change70%▼ 3
- 25 bps increase18%▲ 7
- 50+ bps increase7%▼ 2
2 more
- 50+ bps decrease3%▼ 3
- 25 bps decrease2%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions