Will the California Voter ID initiative pass? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › State & local Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $75 today · $4.2K traded · $1.9K at stake · prices read 14 min ago

The odds

13%chance▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Yes: 21% on Oct 20, 13% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 13% ▼ 1 11¢ 14¢ $7.14 33.7K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: California Voter ID

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  • California voter ID measure falling short in new pollPOLITICO · 6 days agoLikely voters are deeply divided along party lines, according to a Citrin-POLITICO poll. California’s voter ID measure is falling short of majority support, according to a new Citrin-POLITICO poll. | Jae C. Hong/AP 10/19/2026 4:21 PM EDT…
  • Congress failed, but voters in 11 states get their say on core provision of the SAVE ActHeartlander News · 6 days ago(The Daily Signal) – Senate Republicans were unable to pass the SAVE America Act this year, but voters in several states have the chance to approve ballot measures implementing its provisions. Ballot measures in Alaska, Arkansas, Colorado…
  • Republicans campaign in Fresno for California voter ID measureKMPH · 11 days agoFRESNO, Calif. (FOX26) — Republican leaders gathered in Fresno on Tuesday to build support for Proposition 39, a November ballot measure that would require California voters to show government-issued ID to vote. Voters who vote by mail…
  • Why are out-of-state billionaires funding a California voter ID measure?Santa Barbara News-Press · 13 days agoWant to know who’s who in Republican politics? Look no further than the megadonors bankrolling California’s voter ID initiative. Illinois billionaire packing supply magnate Richard Uihlein, who has poured tens of millions of dollars into…
  • Proposition 39 — California Voter ID Initiative Attracts Millions from BillionairesThe Korea Daily · 14 days agoA high-stakes political battle is unfolding in California as a proposed ballot measure to mandate government-issued identification for voting attracts massive funding from billionaire donors. Following heavy financial contributions from…
  • Marni von Wilpert grabs the spotlightTimes of San Diego · 13 days agoHere’s what we have for you today: General manager and editor It was December of 2022, just after Democrats took total control of the San Diego City Council. It was an overlooked moment, but it proved pivotal for Councilmember Marni von…

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