California State Senate District 26 election winner (2026)

Kalshi Elections › State & local Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $1.9K traded · $1.2K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

76%Sara Hernandez
  • Sara Hernandez76%
  • Sarah Rascón19%
  • Paul A. Bowers1%
  • Juan Camacho1%
  • Wendy Carrillo1%
  • Maebe Pudlo1%
  • Claudia Agraz1%
  • Sang Masog1%

How the odds have moved

Sara Hernandez: 81% on Oct 20, 76% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Sara Hernandez 76% 76¢ 85¢ $1.18 2.0K
Sarah Rascón 19% 16¢ 24¢ $4.17 908
Paul A. Bowers 1% 2¢ $50.00 2.4K
Juan Camacho 1% 2¢ $50.00 466
Wendy Carrillo 1% 2¢ $50.00 461
Maebe Pudlo 1% 2¢ $50.00 2.4K
Claudia Agraz 1% 2¢ $50.00 2.4K
Sang Masog 1% 2¢ $50.00 2.7K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: California State Senate District, Sara Hernandez, Sarah Rascón

Search ›

Related markets

All state & local ›

Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)?

28%Haniff Hoosen
  • Haniff Hoosen28%▲ 2
  • Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi28%▲ 22
  • Mkhuleko Hlengwa6%▼ 17
10 more
  • Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi5%
  • Cyril Xaba4%
  • Philani Mavundla2%▼ 3
  • Zandile Gumede<1%
  • Maggie Govender<1%
  • Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi<1%
  • Zwakele Mncwango<1%
  • Thabani Nyawose<1%▼ 4
  • Nomusa Dube-Ncube<1%
  • Mina Soma-Lesoma<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions