Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
62%Olivia Chow
- Olivia Chow62%▼ 4
- Brad Bradford37%▲ 4
- Ana Bailão<1%
5 more
- Michael Ford<1%
- Anthony Furey<1%
- Marco Mendicino<1%
- John Tory<1%
- Kevin Clarke<1%
Install
California Insurance Commissioner winner? (2026)
The odds
70%Ben Allen
- Ben Allen70%▲ 1
- Jane Kim30%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Ben Allen: 71% on Oct 20, 70% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Allen | 70% | ▲ 1 | 69¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | 3.9K |
| Jane Kim | 30% | ▼ 1 | 27¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 1.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: California Insurance Commissioner, Ben Allen, Jane Kim
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Can Ben Allen Fight Off Jane Kim and the DSA Machine to Become California’s 9th Insurance Commissioner?In California's first-ever race for an elected insurance commissioner between two Democrats, state Sen. Ben Allen fights to overcome Jane Kim's lead from the June 2 primary. The far left's top target this year is the California Insurance… - Caruso Donates to Ben Allen's Insurance Race as Palisades Rebuilds From FireDeveloper Rick Caruso has donated about $3,400 to state Sen. Ben Allen's campaign for California insurance commissioner, adding his name to a donor list that includes real estate executives and a crypto-backed political action committee as…
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Where the California insurance commissioner candidates stand on 5 major issuesJane Kim and Ben Allen, both Democrats, beat a crowded field of candidates to advance to November’s general election for insurance commissioner. The two have philosophical differences on the future of insurance in California and how they’d… -
Fire Survivors Press CA Insurance Commissioner Candidates Over Toxic Home TestingLOS ANGELES, CA — With the Nov. 3 election fast approaching, fire survivors Thursday are asking candidates for California Insurance Commissioner whether they will guarantee insurers conduct and pay for proper comprehensive testing of all… -
LA Wild Fire Survivors Seek Commitments from CA Insurance Commissioner CandidatesWith the Nov. 3 election fast approaching, fire survivors Thursday are asking candidates for California Insurance Commissioner whether they will guarantee insurers conduct and pay for proper comprehensive testing of all properties… -
Endorsements: Who we support in five statewide racesWith this editorial, The San Diego Union-Tribune Editorial Board wraps up its endorsements for the Nov. 3 election by weighing in on five statewide offices. By far the most important contest is for insurance commissioner, which pits two… -
Business Owner Tim Gaspar and Labor-Backed Barri Worth Girvan Face Off in Los AngelesThat resume is the center of her pitch to voters. "Delivering core city services is my bread and butter," she told the Los Angeles Times. He argues that City Hall needs someone from outside government. "They're missing the business… -
Ro Khanna, progressives unite at UC Berkeley for a rebuilt Democratic PartyRep. Ro Khanna, who represents California’s 17th Congressional District, including the heart of Silicon Valley, speaks on Sproul Plaza on Wednesday. Khanna has made stops in Orlando, Boston and Reno to bring “the fight against the… -
“We've Been Conned”: The 65-Year-Old Lie Behind Closed PrimariesEditor's Note: The following is an exclusive series on IVN from the better elections group Open Primaries. The content originated from the group's weekly newsletter, "Primary Buzz." In Los Angeles's District 3, business owner Tim Gaspar… -
The Surprisingly Exciting Race to Be California’s Next Insurance CommissionerBen Allen wants to reform the existing market. Jane Kim wants a revolution. From Crescent City to Coronado, California voters are facing decisions on a down-ballot strewn with over a dozen propositions and a series of statewide… -
Alaska Independent Bill Hill Has Caught Up to Nick Begich, New Polls SayNearly 232,000 independent voters cast ballots in North Carolina's first five days of early voting, an 88% increase from 2022. Independents now represent 40% of registered voters in the state and are showing up at polls in unprecedented… -
Independent Voters Are Showing Up in North Carolina Like Never BeforeIndependent candidate Bill Hill has closed the gap in Alaska's House race, trailing Republican Nick Begich by just 1-2 points in recent polls as independent voters shift their support. Open Primaries founder John Opdycke joins hosts Chad…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.