How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?

Kalshi Culture Closes Jul 22, 2027 · $1 today · $189K traded · $31.2K at stake · prices read 30 min ago

The odds

14.16Mmedian

13.25M14.90M

Median 14.16MMiddle half 13.84M – 14.49M

How the odds have moved

Median: 14.28M on Oct 20, 14.16M now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
above 13,500,000	88%	87¢	88¢	$1.14	78.8K
above 13,750,000	81%	80¢	81¢	$1.23	66.4K
above 14,000,000	66%	65¢	66¢	$1.52	51.1K
above 14,250,000	41%	40¢	41¢	$2.44	30.0K
above 14,500,000	25%	24¢	25¢	$4.00	29.2K
above 14,600,000	20%	19¢	20¢	$5.00	25.4K
above 14,700,000	14%	14¢	15¢	$6.67	46.5K
above 14,800,000	7%	6¢	7¢	$14.29	30.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: New York City, Broadway

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Hochul, Blakeman focus on affordability in campaign stops across New York CityCBS News · 2 days agoOctober 24, 2026 / 12:03 AM EDT / CBS New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman campaigned on opposite sides of New York City on Friday, speaking with voters about on affordability, taxes and public safety as the…
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New York City mayoral contender Zellnor Myrie out with first TV adPOLITICO · 3 days agoThe candidates are looking to make a dent in Andrew Cuomo's significant lead in the polls. Brooklyn state Sen. Zellnor Myrie is releasing his first TV ad of the mayor's race Tuesday. | Courtesy of state Sen. Zellnor Myrie's office…
New York city council votes to ban horse-drawn carriage ridesthe Guardian · 3 days agoCity’s council passed Romanch’s Law, named after teen who died when he was ejected from carriage earlier this year The New York city council has voted to ban horse-drawn carriage rides in the city by 2028 in a decision that has widespread…
New York City Council passes bill to ban horse-drawn carriage rides within 2 yearsCBS News · 3 days agoUpdated on: October 22, 2026 / 6:08 PM EDT / CBS New York The New York City Council passed a bill banning horse-drawn carriage rides in the city by 2028. Lawmakers voted Thursday afternoon on Romanch's Law. The legislation is named after…
New York City councilwoman on passage of bill banning horse-drawn carriagesNPR · 4 days agoNPR's Leila Fadel speaks with New York City Councilwoman Joann Ariola about her vote against a bill banning horse-drawn carriages in the city. New York City councilwoman on passage of bill banning horse-drawn carriages NPR's Leila Fadel…
New York City Bans The Sale Of Foie Gras, Will Punish Businesses Offering Food From Force-Fed AnimalsCBS News · 3 days agoOctober 30, 2019 / 10:21 PM EDT / CBS New York NEW YORK (CBSNewYork/AP) — The New York City Council has voted to ban the sale of foie gras — the fattened liver of a duck — served in fine restaurants and gourmet groceries across the city…
Gun charge against New York City Councilwoman Inna Vernikov dropped by Brooklyn DACBS News · 4 days agoUpdated on: November 17, 2023 / 5:49 PM EST / CBS New York NEW YORK -- The charge against New York City Council Member Inna Vernikov, who was arrested for bringing a gun to a rally over the Israel-Hamas war, has been dropped by the…
Can these shoes survive New York City? 6 New Yorkers put them to the ultimate testNew York Post · 4 days agoNew York City is the ultimate proving ground — and the wrong pair of shoes can turn a daily commute into a nightmare. For the New York Post’s Made It Here Awards, six reporters hit the streets of Manhattan in boots, heels and flats to see…
New York City Makes Syringe Redemption Program PermanentBKReader · 14 h agoNew York City has permanently extended its Community Syringe Redemption Program after participants collected more than 3.5 million used syringes from public spaces during the program’s first year and a half, the city’s Health Department…
New_York_City_MarathonWSLS · 2 days agoA traumatic brain injury changed Julie Abbott’s life. Now, she’s using running to raise money and spread hope to others navigating recovery. Hellen Obiri of Kenya set a women’s course record to win the New York City Marathon while…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onThe Broadway League.

Trading closesJul 22, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$189K (357,557 contracts)

Today$1

This week$4.1K

At stake$31.2K

In the news26 headlines today, 740 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the number of people who enter Broadway performances in New York City during The 2026–27 Broadway season is above 13500000, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions