US building permits for October (October 2026)
1.38median
1.201.65
Median 1.38Middle half 1.33 – 1.43
Install
US building permits for September (September 2026)
Settled Between 1.35 and 1.40A day before, traders had a median of 1.41
The last odds before it closed
1.42median
- ✓ Above 1.250M97%
- ✓ Above 1.300M96%▲ 1
- ✓ Above 1.350M96%▲ 13
- Above 1.400M62%▲ 10
- Above 1.450M29%▼ 1
- Above 1.500M13%▲ 5
- Above 1.550M2%
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.41 on Oct 20, 1.42 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Above 1.250M | 97% | 77.00 | ||||
| ✓ Above 1.300M | 96% | 6.7K | ||||
| ✓ Above 1.350M | 96% | 421 | ||||
| ✗ Above 1.400M | 62% | 1.4K | ||||
| ✗ Above 1.450M | 29% | 3.5K | ||||
| ✗ Above 1.500M | 13% | 1.00 | ||||
| ✗ Above 1.550M | 2% | 50.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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90%chance
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705,678median
670,000750,000
Median 705,678Middle half 701,441 – 709,915
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1.25median
11.45
Median 1.25Middle half 1.18 – 1.30
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.