Bitcoin above ___ on October 20?
$81,733median
$72,000$96,000
Median $81,733Middle half $80,779 – $82,871
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How low will BTC get in October?
The odds
41%Below $77,500.00
Bitcoin now 81,332.60 −1.69% - Falls to $77,50041%
- Falls to $75,00019%
- Falls to $72,50010%
- Falls to $70,0004%
- Falls to $67,5003%
- Falls to $65,0002%
- Falls to $62,5002%
Already reached: Below $80,000.00
How the odds have moved
Falls to $70,000: 4% on Oct 20, 4% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below $62,500.00 | 2% | ▼ 2 | 3¢ | $33.33 | 52.2K | |
| Below $65,000.00 | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 28.6K |
| Below $67,500.00 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 32.6K |
| Below $70,000.00 | 4% | ▼ 2 | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 37.2K |
| Below $72,500.00 | 10% | ▼ 1 | 9¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 46.8K |
| Below $75,000.00 | 19% | ▲ 3 | 18¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 47.6K |
| Below $77,500.00 | 41% | ▲ 8 | 40¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | 59.5K |
| ✓ Below $80,000.00 | 99% | $1.01 | 46.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Bitcoin
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Strive Buys $335 Million in Bitcoin After Investors Pour In $369 MillionThe average price was about $82,803 per coin, meaning the stash was worth about $335 million, and the purchase lifts its holdings to 36,818 BTC, up from 32,773 a week earlier. That’s a total just north of $3 billion worth of Bitcoin at… -
Abandoned Bitcoin? Wallet Targeted by Noah Doe Lawsuit Moves $33 MillionAnother long-sleeping Bitcoin whale has stirred, and this one is named in a lawsuit claiming its coins were abandoned. An address beginning with "13Coop" that had never sent a single coin since it was first funded on Sept. 11, 2013, moved… -
Bitcoin Tests Key Support as Oil and AI Fears Squeeze MarketsBitcoin continues to defy seasonal ‘Uptober” expectations, as macroeconomic factors weigh heavily on the digital asset. Bitcoin is hovering around $82,000 on Monday, up about 1% on the day, after tagging $83,000 early and handing some of… -
Strategy Buys $22M in Bitcoin, Buys Back $193M of STRCStrategy bought 267 BTC for $22.1 million last week and repurchased $193.1 million of its STRC preferred stock, the company said on Monday. The Bitcoin treasury firm paid an average of $82,900 per coin, including fees, between October 12… -
Live updates: Bitcoin tags $83,000 and slips back as chip stocks lead a reboundTech futures bounced after last week’s 5.5% rout, and bitcoin followed them up before sellers knocked it back. Earnings this week put the AI trade to the test again. Oil prices have bounced from Asian session lows on fears of a fresh… -
Bitcoin mining offshoot loses Microsoft AI deal as power delay stretches into 2030sTechnology giant Microsoft MSFT walked away from a planned U.K. AI data center run by Nscale, a company spun out of bitcoin BTC$82,836.58 mining, after the local grid operator said it may not be able to power the site for a decade. The… -
Strategy (MSTR) on verge of golden cross, just weeks after bitcoin (BTC) did the same: Crypto DailyWeeks after bitcoin’s (BTC) price chart flashed a major bullish signal, Strategy (MSTR), the largest publicly listed accumulator of the cryptocurrency, is about to do the same. The signal, a golden cross, occurs when a security’s 50-day… -
Bitcoin whale moves $34 million in BTC it got in 2013 when coins traded at $131A bitcoin BTC$82,780.88 wallet, dormant since 2013, came back to life On Sunday, the wallet moved all 411.45 of its BTC to a new address, according to blockchain data from Arkham Intelligence. At today’s price of about $82,600 per coin… -
How Hardware Wallets Sign Bitcoin Payments OfflineThe process starts with a receiving address and an amount. Wallet software uses those details to prepare an outgoing transaction. Services that accept Bitcoin deposits can also record incoming payments against customer accounts. The… -
Bitcoin Holds $80,000: A Pause Before Challenging $87,000?Bitcoin (BTC) has reached the correction zone identified in the previous analysis, but its next move is still taking shape. Trading volume is low and momentum is lacking. Even so, the main scenario remains bullish, with the focus on… -
Strive Increases Bitcoin Holdings After $335M PurchaseBitcoin treasury operator Strive reported another round of large Bitcoin purchases, adding 4,045 BTC to its reserves for about $335 million. The acquisition, disclosed in a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)… -
BlackRock Bitcoin ETF $10B Inflow: Real BTC ImpactHome > Opinion > BlackRock Bitcoin ETF $10B Inflow: Real BTC Impact A $10 billion net inflow into BlackRock’s IBIT does not equal an immediate $10 billion spot purchase of bitcoin. The distinction matters for any analyst assessing the real…
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All bitcoin ›What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
$90,972high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $90,972.
- Reaches $90,00054%
- Reaches $95,00036%
- Falls to $70,00037%
- Falls to $65,00023%
Already reached: ↓ 60,000, ↑ 85,000, ↑ 80,000, ↑ 75,000, ↑ 70,000, ↑ 65,000
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
$85,231high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $85,231 and as low as $78,477.
- Reaches $82,50089%
- Reaches $85,00053%
- Falls to $80,00070%
- Falls to $77,50038%
Already reached: ↑ 85,000, ↓ 82,500, ↓ 80,000, ↓ 85,000, ↑ 85,000, ↓ 85,000
What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?
46%↑ 84,000
Traders see as low as $79,417.
- Reaches $84,00046%
- Reaches $86,00018%
- Falls to $80,00061%
- Falls to $78,00025%
Already reached: ↓ 82,000
Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?
$81,614median
$70,000$94,000
Median $81,614Middle half $80,477 – $82,971
Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?
$81,634median
$70,000$94,000
Median $81,634Middle half $80,225 – $83,233
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.