"All I Want for Christmas Is You" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Dec 5, 2026)
5.47median
1100
Median 5.47Middle half 3.61 – 8.52
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"All I Want for Christmas Is You" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Jan 2, 2027)
The odds
1.61median
1100
Median 1.61Middle half 1.30 – 1.91
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank 1 to 2 | 82% | 87¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 5.0K | |
| Rank 3 to 4 | 4% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 27.00 | |
| Rank 5 to 6 | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 26.00 | |
| Rank 7 to 10 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 26.00 | |
| Rank 11 to 15 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 26.00 | |
| Rank 16 to 20 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 26.00 | |
| Rank 21 to 30 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 51.00 | |
| Rank 31 to 40 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 284 | |
| Rank 41 to 50 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 76.00 | |
| Rank 51 to 74 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 126 | |
| Rank 75 to 100 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 326 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Christmas Is You, I Want, Billboard Hot
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Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 Countdown for Oct. 31, 2026 | Billboard NewsElla Langley's "Choosin' Texas" is returns to the No.1 spot, with several new entries in the top 10 from the likes of Tate McRae, Olivia Rodrigo and Chappell Roan. Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” returns to the No. 1 spot, with several new… -
Tate McRae Beats Taylor Swift, Olivia Rodrigo in Billboard Hot 100 Race for … Number TwoTate McRae beat out Olivia Rodrigo and Taylor Swift in a tight race for Number Two on the Billboard Hot 100. -
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Cedella Marley Still Believes in the ‘Reggae Girlz’: ‘I Wanted the Music to Reflect the Journey of These Women’The Grammy-winning daughter of Bob Marley talks Red Bull Studio's new Jamaican women's soccer team documentary and accompanying soundtrack. “If it’s Reggae Girlz and it’s football, then it’s Cedella!” the three-time Grammy-winning reggae… -
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Terri Clark applauds Ella Langley's historic rise but says she 'would not want to trade places with her'Country music legend Terri Clark tells OutKick OutDoors why she's thrilled about Ella Langley's record-breaking success while reflecting on the emotional pressures and loss of privacy that can come with superstardom. Country music legend… -
Ella Langley Retakes No. 1 on Hot 100 From Taylor Swift; Tate McRae’s ‘Housewife,’ Rodrigo/Roan ‘Expectations’ and Zach Bryan/Lana Del Rey ‘Lies’ All Bow BigTaylor Swift’s “Patient Zero” no longer has a stranglehold on the No. 1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100; after three weeks, it has relinquished the slot to the previous song to have a stranglehold on the chart, and a much more indomitable… -
Drake Sings ‘I Want It That Way’ With Backstreet Boys at 40th Birthday BashThe rapper capped a week of festivities with a lavish New York celebration — complete with designer gifts and a $1 million game show. Drake rang in his 40th birthday with more than 400 guests, million-dollar prizes and a surprise… -
Tim Dowling: why did I buy an electric car? Because I wanted a medalLunch with my agent is going nowhere, so I decide to share my latest motoring anecdote I’m having lunch with my agent – an infrequent occurrence, because neither of us ever has any good news for the other. This lunch is no different… -
Ella Langley’s ‘Choosin’ Texas’ Rebounds for Record-Extending 25th Week at No. 1 on Hot 100Plus, three songs are new to the top five — from Tate McRae, Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan, and Zach Bryan & Lana Del Rey. Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” rises a spot to notch a record-extending 25th week at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot… -
Body and beauty therapy: ‘I knew exactly what I wanted to do’"I knew exactly what I wanted to do after my Leaving Cert, and where I wanted to study. I didn't even fill out a CAO application. There was no need to: I wanted to go to Senior College Dún Laoghaire (now the Blackrock Further Education… -
I Wanted a Guardian. I Kept Building Things I Had to Babysit.This is a submission for the Hacktoberfest Open-Source AI Challenge Week 3: Slow and Steady. I have been building agents for months. Different jobs, different conversations, bots I could reach through Telegram. Somewhere in all that work…
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All music ›"Housewife" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026)
1.53median
1100
Median 1.53Middle half 1.26 – 1.79
"Thriller" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026)
19.4median
1100
Median 19.4Middle half 17.0 – 25.2
Junior Eurovision Winner 2026
99%Armenia
- Armenia99%▲ 56
- Albania<1%▼ 1
- Azerbaijan<1%▼ 1
15 more
- Croatia<1%▼ 2
- Cyprus<1%▼ 4
- France<1%▼ 13
- Georgia<1%▼ 6
- Ireland<1%▼ 14
- Italy<1%▼ 1
- Malta<1%▼ 22
- Montenegro<1%▼ 2
- Netherlands<1%▼ 2
- North Macedonia<1%▼ 9
- Poland<1%▼ 7
- Portugal<1%▼ 1
- San Marino<1%▼ 4
- Spain<1%▼ 25
- Ukraine<1%▼ 16
Bad Bunny Streams in 2026
33.74Bmedian
27.00B35.00B
Median 33.74BMiddle half 32.50B – 34.25B
Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers (2027)
84%Beyoncé
- Beyoncé84%▲ 14
- Justin Timberlake63%▲ 35
- Rihanna51%▲ 6
68 more
- Pharrell Williams47%▼ 13
- The Weeknd30%
- Lil Wayne30%▲ 25
- Olivia Dean30%
- J. Cole25%
- Mariah Carey25%
- Metallica25%
- Future24%
- Chris Brown20%
- Lil Uzi Vert20%▲ 16
- Doja Cat20%
- Post Malone19%
- Cardi B19%
- AC/DC19%
- Tate McRae18%
- Guns N' Roses18%
- Kanye West / Ye14%▼ 10
- Justin Bieber13%▼ 1
- KATSEYE13%▼ 1
- Lady Gaga12%▼ 1
- Calvin Harris12%
- Drake12%▲ 1
- Bruno Mars11%
- Miley Cyrus11%▼ 18
- Lil Baby10%
- Shaboozey10%▼ 8
- Tyler, The Creator10%
- Megan Thee Stallion10%▼ 1
- Ella Langley10%▼ 7
- Eminem9%
- Maroon 59%
- Linkin Park9%▼ 16
- Charli xcx9%
- BTS9%▼ 1
- Dua Lipa8%
- Bryson Tiller8%
- Pink8%
- Taylor Swift8%▼ 7
- mgk7%
- Billie Eilish6%
- Pearl Jam6%
- Benson Boone6%
- Doechii6%
- SZA5%
- Luke Combs5%▼ 1
- USHER5%
- Alex Warren5%
- Chappell Roan5%
- Frank Ocean5%
- Foo Fighters5%
- Ariana Grande5%▼ 1
- Bad Bunny4%
- KAROL G4%
- Oasis4%
- Kid Cudi4%
- Lil Nas X4%
- Green Day4%
- Christina Aguilera4%
- Eagles4%
- Imagine Dragons4%
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions